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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights," the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Both sides kill the Baron" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to a research report published by RootData Research, the total trading volume of mainstream cryptocurrency exchanges in the TradFi sector surpassed $1.3 trillion in the first half of 2026, nearly a tenfold increase compared to the entire year of 2025, with TradFi derivatives accounting for over 98%, becoming the core engine driving the explosive growth of the sector.The exchange landscape is shifting from "unipolar concentration" to multipolar competition. Binance, while maintaining a leading position in the TradFi sector with a cumulative share of 68.3%, saw its monthly trading volume share decline from 78.8% at the beginning of the year to 58.2% in August. Meanwhile, second-tier exchanges such as OKX, Gate, and Hyperliquid are rapidly expanding, with market shares of 18.2%, 10.7%, and 9.9% respectively in August.In the core submarket of stock derivatives, entering August, Binance still dominated with an average daily trading volume of $14.927 billion; OKX established an advantage in trading costs with the industry's lowest spread of 0.0091%, achieving a comprehensive score tied for second with Gate. Gate has recently shown independent growth, recording four consecutive months of triple-digit month-on-month growth from May to August, and in mid-August, its ±2% weighted depth ranked first in the industry for 11 consecutive trading days. The competitive logic of the TradFi sector may be shifting from a battle for traffic to a competition across comprehensive dimensions such as position size, market depth, trading costs, and variety coverage.

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand (SEC) has proposed allowing intermediaries to provide certain digital asset derivatives traded overseas to retail investors. According to the proposal, eligible products must be similar to crypto derivatives traded domestically in Thailand, including aspects such as underlying assets, duration, leverage, and settlement methods. At the same time, these products must be traded on exchanges that adopt central counterparty clearing and are supervised by regulatory bodies belonging to specific international regulatory or exchange organizations.Crypto derivatives that do not meet the above conditions will only be available to institutional investors. The Thai SEC stated that institutional investors are better equipped to assess and manage complex and high-risk products. Current rules only allow intermediaries to provide relevant investment services to retail and high-net-worth clients when overseas derivatives are similar to domestic trading products, while overseas crypto derivatives, due to their varying structures and risk levels, require targeted regulations.This consultation is the latest initiative by Thailand to incorporate crypto-related products into the regulated capital market. The Thai SEC officially designated cryptocurrencies and digital tokens as permissible derivative underlying assets in a notice issued on March 5 and is discussing potential contract specifications with the Thailand Futures Exchange. The consultation will continue until September 30, and the Thai SEC has not yet announced the proposed implementation date for the revisions.

Ireland is preparing to exclude cryptocurrencies from the government-designed personal investment accounts set to launch in 2027, which will allow savers to invest in listed stocks, bonds, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The Irish government has classified cryptocurrencies and derivatives as "highly complex and higher-risk products" in its retail investment tax roadmap, and they will not be included in the scope of qualifying assets.The new accounts will set a yet-to-be-determined tax-free threshold, with amounts above the threshold subject to a low tax rate based on annual average value, and the existing deemed-disposal regime (which taxes unrealized gains at a rate of 38% every eight years) will not apply to investments within the accounts. Account providers will be responsible for calculating, reporting, and paying taxes to the Irish Revenue Commissioners, and savers will not face minimum contribution amounts, holding period, or lock-in period restrictions.The product list follows the European Commission's September 2025 recommendations regarding savings and investment accounts, which exclude high-risk and complex derivatives and cryptocurrencies, but with the exception of tokenized financial instruments. Tax rates, thresholds, and annual contribution limits are expected to be determined in the 2027 budget to be announced in October. Research from the Central Bank of Ireland shows that 38% of Irish households' financial assets are held in cash and deposits, higher than the EU average of 30%.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, wallets associated with Cumberland withdrew 15,390 ETH from Binance, worth 37.66 million USD.

Irish Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Finance Simon Harris announced the framework for the country's new savings and investment plan via an Instagram video on Sunday, explicitly excluding crypto assets. Savers can hold stocks, bonds, funds, exchange-traded funds, and insurance products, while cryptocurrencies, derivatives, and interest-bearing cash are not permitted. The plan aims to guide approximately $203 billion (€175 billion) in deposits held by Irish households in bank accounts into the investment sector.Every Irish tax resident aged 18 and over can open an account, with contributions within the tax-free allowance being completely tax-exempt, while amounts exceeding this will be taxed at a low fixed rate annually. There are no minimum contribution amounts or lock-in period restrictions, but there is an annual contribution limit. Specific thresholds and tax rates will be announced on the budget day of October 6, with accounts expected to open next year. Research from the Central Bank of Ireland shows that Irish households allocate only 2.3% of their financial assets to direct investments such as listed stocks and bonds, significantly lower than the EU average of 7.5%.Harris also confirmed that the new accounts will not be subject to the "deemed disposal" rule—this rule requires certain funds to be taxed at a rate of 38% every eight years. The government will review this regulation more broadly in the coming weeks. A survey by the Central Bank of Ireland found that about 10% of adults hold crypto assets, primarily young men, with an average holding of approximately €2,266. Prior to the exclusion of crypto assets, Ireland launched its first national anti-money laundering strategy on August 13, enhancing scrutiny of private wallet transfers and due diligence requirements for overseas crypto businesses.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley," the option "Landaluce" in the sub-market "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley Set 2 Winner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 72.5% an hour ago to the current 50% (a fluctuation of 22.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

The Chair of the Financial Stability Board and Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, warned G20 finance ministers and central bank governors that cybersecurity threats posed by cutting-edge AI models are significantly increasing the risk of a financial system collapse. Bailey stated that the global financial system is already strained due to energy-driven inflation pressures, a high interest rate environment, and rising investment leverage, and that the involvement of AI risks will exacerbate this pressure.Bailey pointed out that financial institutions and tech giants must prepare for extreme scenarios, as existing financial defense systems will face severe tests if there are synchronized disruptions involving multiple institutions or shared technology dependencies. He mentioned that models tested by labs such as Anthropic and OpenAI have demonstrated the ability to simulate attacks on external organizations and create false identities, and he suggested developing bare-metal backup systems that are completely physically isolated from the main network.Bailey also listed threats that could trigger disorderly market adjustments, including the fragile state of stock market valuations driven by the AI boom, weakness in the sovereign debt market and private credit sector, and investors continuously increasing leverage in the stock market.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley," the sub-market "US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley First Set Winner" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in the winning probability of the "Landaluce" option, soaring from 59% an hour ago to the current 91.5% (a fluctuation of 32.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $52,123.74 in a single bet on the event "Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC," targeting "Sunderland AFC." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 43%.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Cumberland (0x040...0f3F) transferred 170,000 HYPE to Bybit and Coinbase, worth approximately $14.09 million, representing client sales. Some clients unstaked a few hours ago, while others have held for several months.

According to Bitcoin News monitoring, the Criminal Assets Bureau of Ireland transferred 500 bitcoins seized from a cannabis dealer in 2021, worth $38 million.

The fourth largest party in the New Zealand Parliament, the Association of Consumers and Taxpayers (ACT), proposed to exempt individual retail investors who hold compliant crypto assets for more than one year from capital gains tax, while assets held for less than one year, as well as professional traders and businesses, will still be taxed according to current tax regulations.ACT also proposed tax exemption for small personal consumption using crypto assets, and to establish clear regulatory and tax rules for compliant payment stablecoins, tokenized securities, and real-world assets, while setting up a regulatory sandbox for startups to test new products. ACT Deputy Leader Nicole McKee stated that clear rules, moderate protective measures, and reduced cumbersome regulations will help New Zealand develop digital finance, modern capital markets, and financial innovation. The New Zealand government has introduced a bill to implement the Economic Cooperation and Development Organization's Crypto Asset Reporting Framework (CARF).

Virtu Financial, M1X Global, and Tradeweb have completed an on-chain repurchase transaction using the digital sovereign bond USDM1 issued by the Marshall Islands as collateral, with all settlements completed on the Canton Network within 10 minutes. The parties stated that this is the first case combining native-issued sovereign collateral with fully on-chain atomic settlement.USDM1 is a dollar-denominated sovereign bond issued on-chain by the Republic of the Marshall Islands, backed 1:1 by short-term U.S. Treasury securities, which continues to pay interest during the collateral period and is structured as a fully collateralized sovereign debt instrument under New York law. The bond is offered through the Tradeweb platform, with custodial services provided by Anchorage Digital, BitGo, and tZERO.Canton is a blockchain network designed for institutional finance, equipped with privacy and permission management features. Prior to this transaction, Tradeweb facilitated the real-time transfer of tokenized U.S. Treasury securities from Franklin Templeton to Virtu Financial on Canton in July. Since August, FalconX and Interstice have launched a cross-chain exchange engine connecting Canton with Ethereum, Solana, and Robinhood Chain, and World Liberty Financial has also natively issued the USD1 stablecoin on Canton.

According to Bloomberg, the UK government will grant the Bank of England (BoE) a new responsibility to promote innovation in the field of digital currency and payments. The UK Treasury stated that this responsibility will serve as a secondary objective for the Bank of England, still subordinate to its core mission of maintaining financial stability.This move responds to criticism that the UK central bank has been too conservative in its approach to emerging financial technologies. UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham has prioritized maintaining London's competitiveness in the rapidly evolving digital asset market as a key policy direction. This policy suggests that the UK regulatory framework may place greater emphasis on balancing risk control with financial technology innovation, potentially creating a clearer development environment for digital payments, stablecoins, and other digital asset-related businesses.