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BTC $60,080.78 +2.45%
ETH $1,615.41 +2.50%
BNB $548.51 +0.46%
XRP $1.05 +1.46%
SOL $77.66 +4.16%
TRX $0.3155 -0.16%
DOGE $0.0723 +1.25%
ADA $0.1549 +3.13%
BCH $213.60 +5.53%
LINK $7.43 +3.46%
HYPE $63.01 -1.88%
AAVE $84.51 -1.03%
SUI $0.7246 +4.32%
XLM $0.1959 -2.37%
ZEC $418.77 +5.07%

mar

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Flash

CFTC launches a comprehensive investigation into Polymarket, including allegations of wash trading, affecting the Robinhood event contract ecosystem; Nasdaq distributes TotalView market data on-chain through Pyth Network for the first time

According to BBX data, the prediction market faced a dual attack yesterday, with traditional exchange infrastructure accelerating its on-chain transition. The core dynamics are as follows:The prediction market/event contract ecosystem where Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $HOOD) operates suffered a dual regulatory blow yesterday: first, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a comprehensive investigation into Polymarket (privately held), covering its social media activities and suspected wash trading behaviors; second, a Michigan court ruled to prohibit Kalshi (privately held) from offering sports betting services to residents in Michigan. Although these two incidents directly target Polymarket and Kalshi, their strategic importance to Robinhood cannot be ignored—Robinhood provides event contract products linked to KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC through its subsidiary Robinhood Derivatives LLC, making it the largest distribution channel for prediction markets among regulated brokers in the U.S. The CFTC's escalation of enforcement investigations into similar platforms will directly impact Robinhood's event contract business compliance framework and product expansion speed; in June, the average daily trading volume in this sector reached a historic record.Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ: $NDAQ) announced yesterday that it has chosen Pyth Network (on-chain price oracle protocol) as its on-chain distribution partner for TotalView (Nasdaq's full market depth data product), marking the first time Nasdaq has integrated its core institutional-level market data into a blockchain network—TotalView provides full-level buy and sell quotes and transaction data for the U.S. stock market, historically only available to traditional financial institutions (subscription-based); on-chain distribution means that DeFi protocols, decentralized exchanges, and smart contracts can now access Nasdaq-level real-time equity market data as an on-chain pricing basis for the first time. The Pyth Network token (PYTH) subsequently rose by over 6%, with the market interpreting this as a historic fusion point between traditional securities market infrastructure and decentralized finance.

Cantor Fitzgerald: The Bitcoin cycle indicates that the market may bottom out in the coming months

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald has released a report stating that the cryptocurrency market is entering the final stage of the current bear market cycle. Analysts pointed out that as of June 10, Bitcoin has been 252 days since its peak in 2025, with a decline of about 51%. In the previous three market cycles, Bitcoin typically reached its bottom 384 days after peaking; if history repeats itself, this round of decline may bottom out around the end of October. The report cautions that this model is not an accurate timing tool, and macroeconomic, regulatory, and geopolitical risks still exist, but the reflexive nature of the cryptocurrency market suggests that historical cycles may self-reinforce.Cantor suggests that investors shift their focus from speculative activities to networks with the ability to accumulate lasting value, identifying Hyperliquid as a typical case of fee-driven token economics. Bitcoin remains the benchmark currency asset, Ethereum is the dominant collateral layer for on-chain finance, and Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each have differentiated advantages but still need to prove sustainable value. Cantor has also included digital asset treasury companies Forward Industries and Cypherpunk Technologies in its research coverage, giving them a buy rating, with target prices of $7.9 and $0.9, respectively.
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