nom

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Waller should take responsible actions to address the challenges of inflation and economic growth.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that inflation can be reduced and the economy will grow strongly.

According to Jin Shi reports, Sky Links Capital Group CEO Daniel Takieddine stated that the dollar trading trend is stable and remains close to multi-week highs, thanks to the strong performance of U.S. economic data and the uncertainty of U.S.-Iran negotiations. He pointed out that recent U.S. data has strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer period, and although market pricing indicates that rates will remain unchanged this year, there is still a possibility of rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist.

According to Jinshi reports, economists have raised their forecasts for U.S. inflation and delayed the timeline for the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut, expecting the core PCE index to remain above 3%. Surveys show that economists are evenly split on whether the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December, whereas previous predictions anticipated a rate cut in October. Wilmington Trust Corp Chief Economist Luke Tilly stated that consumer spending is weak and expects the unemployment rate to peak at 4.5% in the third quarter.

According to Greeks.live, options expiration data shows that 21,000 BTC options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.66, a maximum pain point of $78,500, and a nominal value of $160 million; 129,000 ETH options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.92, a maximum pain point of $2,200, and a nominal value of $280 million.Analysis indicates that Bitcoin has ended a one-and-a-half-month rebound this week, but the market support remains strong. The market is relatively calm, with low attention; this week, less than 5% of BTC options are expiring, and similarly, only 5% of ETH options are expiring. The delivery volume for BTC is not large, with the maximum pain point close to the current price, resulting in a stronger Gamma/pin effect near delivery; the delivery volume for ETH is only half of last week’s, and the current price is below the maximum pain point. The brief increase in the proportion of ETH options this month has ended, and the short-term implied volatility is likely to decline after delivery.From the main options data, the Skew continues to decline slightly, with the implied volatility for major maturities significantly dropping compared to last week, with a decrease exceeding that of realized volatility, and the volatility risk premium has increased. The implied volatility for major Bitcoin maturities has fallen below 35%, while the implied volatility for major ETH maturities has fallen below 50%, with even lower levels in the short term. Block trades are primarily structured, with large whales continuously building short-term low-cost protective positions, and volatility expectations are low, leading to overall market activity being below expectations.

According to Jinshi News, Nomura Securities expects that due to rising inflation and a weakening of support from Federal Reserve officials for policy easing, the likelihood of a rate cut in the near term has decreased, and the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in 2026. In a report on May 21, Nomura stated that the incoming Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh may still have the motivation to ease policy, but recent data and statements from Federal Reserve officials have led them to doubt whether he can persuade the majority of members of the Federal Open Market Committee to support a rate cut.

According to Jinshi reports, Nomura Securities expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, after previously predicting that the Federal Reserve would cut rates once in September and once in December this year.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Barkin stated that whether the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates depends on how businesses and consumers respond to the changing economic situation.

SocialFi trading card game (TCG) fantasy.top announced that it will close at the end of June after two years of operation. The team stated that the long-term economics of the TCG model ultimately showed its limitations, and the trading volume was insufficient to sustainably support long-term operations.Over the past year, the team explored various social vertical products such as prediction markets, mind share tracking, and social graph betting, but none achieved lasting market fit. All investors will receive a full refund. The main Fantasy competition will continue until June 18, until all remaining rewards are distributed. Games such as prediction markets, prize pools, and arenas will close on May 21.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes show that staff forecasts for economic activity are slightly stronger than the predictions made at the March meeting, expecting that the real GDP growth rate will be slightly above the potential growth rate in the coming years. The unemployment rate is expected to be close to long-term levels in the next two years, slightly below this level around 2028. Staff inflation forecasts for this year are higher than those made at the March meeting, mainly due to the latest data and higher energy prices. Inflation is expected to approach 2% by the end of next year. Overall, the risks to the inflation forecast are tilted to the upside, and staff believe that the possibility of inflation being more persistent than expected is worth noting.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes show that the economic outlook forecast by Federal Reserve staff is slightly stronger than during the March meeting.

According to CoinDesk, Real Vision founder Raoul Pal stated that humanity is entering an "exponential age," where AI and cryptocurrencies (including tokenization) are rapidly merging to become a new layer of infrastructure for the global economy.Pal believes that AI will become "top-tier intelligence," while cryptocurrencies will serve as the ownership layer of this future economy, allowing ordinary people to "get ahead of Wall Street" in owning blockchain infrastructure. He predicts that the crypto market size is expected to grow from the current $2.7 trillion to $100 trillion in the next decade.Additionally, Pal mentioned that stablecoins, tokenization, and blockchain finance will provide a more equitable financial system for global users, while meme coins and NFTs serve as important stress tests for technological concepts.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that if economic growth exceeds potential levels or if other inflation risks arise, a moderate interest rate hike could be considered.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that maintaining stable interest rates allows the Federal Reserve to better assess the economic situation.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump will hold the swearing-in ceremony for Federal Reserve Chair nominee Waller on Friday.

Nomura published a report indicating that AI-driven demand is growing exponentially, while memory supply is limited, suggesting that memory stocks are set for a valuation reassessment. The firm significantly raised the target prices for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, with Samsung's target price soaring from 340,000 KRW to 590,000 KRW, and SK Hynix's target price rising from 2,340,000 KRW to 4,000,000 KRW, both rated as "Buy." Nomura stated that as AI semiconductor demand shifts from training to inference workloads, memory demand is entering a period of exponential expansion.In contrast, the firm believes that industry supply growth during the same period may still be constrained to about 5 to 6 times (with a compound annual growth rate of about 30%), raising serious questions about whether the structural supply-demand imbalance can truly be resolved. The firm mentioned that currently, the industry is attempting to narrow this widening supply-demand gap through various software and architectural optimizations, but Nomura believes these solutions can only slow the growth rate rather than reverse the trend.

Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that Bitcoin rapidly fell back after being rejected at $82,000 on Friday, dropping below $79,000. The movement is highly synchronized with the U.S. small-cap stock index, indicating that macro factors are the main driving force behind this round of decline. The Russell 2000 index, which covers small and medium-sized enterprises, has a higher capital cost and is more sensitive to interest rate trends. The high correlation between Bitcoin and this index suggests that the market currently characterizes Bitcoin as a risk asset rather than a safe-haven tool.The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts briefly turned deeply negative on Thursday and remained close to 0% on Friday, with continued absence of long leverage demand—this indicator has been below the neutral threshold of 6% for several weeks. Multiple attempts to breach $82,000 have failed to boost market confidence. Macro pressures have been piling up: the outcome of the U.S.-China summit disappointed the market, with no specific tariff agreements reached aside from a commitment to accelerate U.S. agricultural exports over the next three years; meanwhile, the ongoing war in Iran continues to weigh on market sentiment, with Brent crude oil prices jumping from $99 to $106 in the past week, further exacerbating inflationary pressures.Additionally, the inflation-adjusted Shiller price-to-earnings ratio shows that the S&P 500 index is currently only about 5% lower than its peak during the internet bubble in January 2000, indicating a significant contraction in overall market risk appetite. However, the massive sell-off in the fixed income market may provide mid-term support for Bitcoin. The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has risen to its highest level in over 20 years, while the yield on the Eurozone's 10-year government bonds has also surged to 3.18%, a 15-year high. Analysts believe that in response to recession risks, central banks may be forced to inject liquidity, and funds flowing out of fixed income may ultimately seek other asset allocations, with Bitcoin likely to benefit from this.