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CoinShares released a report indicating that Bitcoin has shown relative strength this week against the backdrop of renewed volatility in the risk asset market, primarily due to a rebound in spot buying, improved stock market sentiment, and some short covering. Overall, the market is gradually reducing its enthusiasm for the AI narrative and is instead focusing more on whether corporate earnings can meet expectations.The poor performance of some U.S. corporate earnings reports has triggered significant stock price fluctuations, which have also affected Bitcoin to some extent, but it still demonstrates strong resilience overall. Meanwhile, macroeconomic signals in the U.S. remain mixed, with the housing market continuing to weaken. In terms of interest rates, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at the meeting on October 28. The market's expectations for another rate hike in December remain high, with the related probability close to 83%.The weakness in the housing market provides some room for the Federal Reserve to pause rate hikes, but last week's higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicate that inflation remains a key factor limiting a shift in policy. If the Federal Reserve unexpectedly raises rates next week, it could trigger more pronounced financial market volatility due to exceeding market expectations; in contrast, maintaining interest rates and continuing to release hawkish signals would be easier for the market to digest. Overall, the current market remains in a state of intertwining bullish and bearish factors. Improved spot demand, Bitcoin's enhanced ability to withstand stock market volatility, and the cooling housing market all provide some support for the market; however, inflationary pressures have not yet dissipated, limiting the Federal Reserve's room to ease policy. The subsequent trend of Bitcoin is expected to remain highly influenced by interest rate expectations and the overall liquidity environment, with the importance of single industry or market catalysts being relatively limited.

The decentralized perpetual contract exchange Deepsigma has launched a real-time simulation trading platform, covering 77 traditional financial markets, including U.S. stocks, stock indices, commodities, and U.S. Treasury yield rates. The platform is developed based on the Cypherium blockchain, driven by a team of alumni from Goldman Sachs, Citadel Securities, Google, and Uber, supporting long and short exposure trading of related assets.Deepsigma's perpetual contracts do not tokenize, custody, or physically deliver the underlying assets but instead track prices through external market data sources. The platform currently supports the S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite Index, Russell 2000 Index, Cboe Volatility Index, as well as contracts for crude oil, gold, silver, natural gas, and copper. The platform's risk engine employs multiple external price sources, mark prices, circuit breaker mechanisms, partial liquidation, and insurance funds, and uses a central limit order book and clearing layer to handle margin, collateral, and settlement.Deepsigma is also developing a decentralized identity framework based on zero-knowledge proofs and configuring off-chain AI analysis tools with no fund execution permissions; the underlying Cypherium utilizes a hybrid PoW and HotStuff Byzantine Fault Tolerance consensus mechanism, holding 4 U.S. patents.

Pepsi (PEP.O) rose about 2% in pre-market trading, after third-quarter revenue exceeded market expectations.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched perpetual contracts for 5 stocks and ETFs: PEP (PepsiCo), BKNG (Booking Holdings), SSPC (2x Short SPCX ETF), SPCH (2x Long SPCX ETF), and GFS (GlobalFoundries).The above contracts are settled in USDT, supporting up to 20x leverage and 24/7 trading.

In a leaked internal conversation from the DeepSeek investor conference, DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng elaborated on his core views regarding the development of the domestic AI computing power industry and ecosystem. He stated that the current domestic AI chip replacement is facing a historic opportunity, with no compatibility barriers in hardware and ecosystem, and that NVIDIA cannot block the replacement process. The only current issue is insufficient production capacity, and it is expected that within a year, the market's perception of domestic chips as "unusable and poor-performing" can be reversed.He pointed out that NVIDIA's CUDA ecosystem moat is rapidly collapsing, and multiple industry transformations combined with export controls have opened a development window for domestic AI chips. He revealed that DeepSeek has partnered with Huawei to obtain 16,000 950 cards to run the ecosystem, and Huawei's 950 super nodes can completely replace NVIDIA's GB200 and GB300 in terms of performance and price, showing an optimistic attitude towards the development of the domestic computing power industry.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that the downside risks to employment have diminished, while inflation risks are mainly focused on the upside.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes show that staff forecasts for economic activity are slightly stronger than the predictions made at the March meeting, expecting that the real GDP growth rate will be slightly above the potential growth rate in the coming years. The unemployment rate is expected to be close to long-term levels in the next two years, slightly below this level around 2028. Staff inflation forecasts for this year are higher than those made at the March meeting, mainly due to the latest data and higher energy prices. Inflation is expected to approach 2% by the end of next year. Overall, the risks to the inflation forecast are tilted to the upside, and staff believe that the possibility of inflation being more persistent than expected is worth noting.

Bernstein reiterated its "Outperform" rating on Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR) and maintained a target price of $67, implying about a 72% upside from the current stock price of $38.97. Figure's Q1 2026 performance was strong: loan issuance reached $2.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 113%; adjusted revenue was $167 million, a year-on-year increase of 92%, exceeding market expectations by 6%; adjusted EBITDA was $82.7 million, with a profit margin of about 50%, slightly above market expectations. However, the GAAP diluted EPS was $0.18, about 9% below expectations, primarily impacted by $26 million in equity incentive expenses.Bernstein's analysis suggests that this performance should reshape the market's perception of Figure, as it is not a traditional credit company, but rather a "tokenization-driven capital market platform," with core profits coming from network fees and operational leverage, and it maintains a pricing model based on a 25x EBITDA valuation for 2027. Additionally, the tokenization ecosystem continues to expand: the yield-bearing security token YLDS reached $598 million (up 80% quarter-on-quarter); the balance of stock lending products was $368 million (up 79%); and the small business loan segment contributed $6 million in revenue. Figure's current stock price is still not far from the 2025 IPO issue price of $36, but there remains a significant gap from the historical high of $78.

Bernstein stated that it maintains a target price of $190 for Circle (CRCL): Although the decline in interest rates led to a quarter-over-quarter drop in reserve income of 11%, Q1 revenue of $694 million was slightly below expectations, but adjusted EBITDA reached $151 million, exceeding consensus by about 10%. Analysts pointed out that Circle's $222 million ARC token presale, completed at a fully diluted valuation of $3 billion, along with robust growth in USDC supply reaching $77 billion (a year-on-year increase of 28%), provides a buffer for the company.According to Gate's market data, Circle's stock closed at $131.76 on Monday, with the target price implying about a 44% upside. Bernstein reiterated that the upcoming launch of the Arc Layer 1 mainnet, the expansion of the payment network, and its leading position in AI agent payments (x402 standard) will support the long-term growth of USDC and maintain the fiscal year 2026 guidance unchanged.

According to Jinshi reports, European Central Bank President Lagarde stated that the risks to the inflation outlook are skewed to the upside.

According to Jinshi reports, the European Central Bank's meeting minutes show that all members believe the risks to the inflation outlook are tilted to the upside.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that the current labor market faces downside risks, while inflation faces upside risks.

According to CoinDesk, analysts at brokerage firm Bernstein maintain an "outperform" rating on USDC issuer Circle's stock, with a target price of $190, representing about a 60% upside from the current level of $120.The report notes that the adoption of stablecoins is increasingly decoupling from the cryptocurrency market cycle. Despite the market being in a bear phase, the supply of USDC has rebounded to nearly a record $78 billion, and the total market capitalization of dollar-pegged stablecoins remains stable at around $270 billion. Adjusted stablecoin trading volume has increased by over 90% year-on-year, with trading turnover rising, indicating that stablecoins are being used more frequently in scenarios outside of cryptocurrency trading.Payment adoption is the main driver, as stablecoins are gradually being integrated into traditional card networks. Visa currently supports over 130 stablecoin-linked cards across more than 50 countries, with an annual settlement volume of approximately $4.6 billion. AI-driven "proxy finance" could become a new growth theme, as machine-to-machine micropayments between autonomous software agents will require stablecoins as a natural payment rail.

Quantum computing company PsiQuantum has launched the construction of a million-qubit quantum computing facility in Chicago. PsiQuantum co-founder Peter Shadbolt shared photos from the construction site on the X platform on Thursday, stating that 500 tons of steel have been erected in six days.The company previously announced in September that it had raised $1 billion to build the facility, in collaboration with chip manufacturer Nvidia, aiming to make quantum computing commercially viable to support the next generation of AI supercomputers. Scientists say that the computational power of a million qubits is equivalent to that of hundreds of billions of ordinary computers, enough to crack Bitcoin's encryption technology. Bitcoin developers are currently discussing whether to take immediate action against quantum threats through a hard fork.A preprint scientific paper released last month suggests that breaking a 2048-bit key would require about 100,000 qubits, while Bitcoin encryption uses a 256-bit key. The largest quantum computer currently comes from the California Institute of Technology, with a scale of 6,100 qubits. PsiQuantum co-founder Terry Rudolph stated in July that the company has no plans to use quantum computers to derive private keys from public keys.Research by crypto asset management firm CoinShares in February of this year pointed out that only 10,230 Bitcoins are simultaneously vulnerable to quantum threats, with wallet addresses' encryption keys publicly visible, amounting to approximately $728 million at current market prices.

According to market news, Bitcoin's recovery today is closely related to a similar rebound in the U.S. stock market, with artificial intelligence and tech stocks leading the market higher. The tech-heavy Nasdaq index led the gains, rising by 1.05%, while the S&P 500 index increased by 0.68%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 421 points, closing up 0.86% on Tuesday. Analysts point out that the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, as well as U.S. stocks, is currently at its lowest level since the FTX incident in 2022.Despite gold rising 51% over the past six months while Bitcoin has fallen 43%, on-chain data firms believe that this extreme divergence historically indicates significant upside potential. Additionally, the Coinbase premium index turned positive for the first time since January 15, accompanied by a net inflow of $258 million into spot ETFs on Tuesday, indicating that U.S. institutional buying is returning. QCP Capital founder Darius Sit stated that this divergence reflects changes in liquidity driven by position liquidations and leverage, rather than a failure of Bitcoin's long-term narrative.

According to Cointelegraph, cryptocurrency economist Timothy Peterson's latest analysis indicates that Bitcoin still has structural upside potential during the current bear market correction: 50% of the months in the past 24 months recorded positive returns, suggesting a higher probability of a positive return turning point in any 24-month period.Based on this, Peterson estimates that the probability of Bitcoin being above the current level in the next 10 months is 88%. He emphasizes that this statistical model shows the market may be approaching a turning point rather than continuing to decline.The current Bitcoin price is approximately $68,173, down nearly 25% from the year's high, erasing most of the gains after the 2024-2025 U.S. elections; the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has fallen to "Extreme Fear" at 9 points, and social media interest in Bitcoin predictions has dried up, with sentiment trending neutral.

According to The Block, despite BitGo's stock price dropping on Tuesday, Mizuho Bank has given a positive outlook on the institutional-grade crypto custody platform in its first research report.Mizuho Bank analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins described BitGo as a "military-grade custodian," believing that its long-term security record and focus on institutional clients constitute a core advantage in the increasingly competitive custody market.The report noted that over 80% of BitGo's revenue comes from recurring businesses such as custody and staking, rather than volatile trading activities, which sets it apart among crypto infrastructure companies. The analysts assigned BitGo a "buy" rating with a target price of $17, implying nearly 70% upside from the current trading price of about $10.15.Mizuho Bank expects that as stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets drive institutional adoption, the company's revenue growth will accelerate. Nevertheless, BitGo's stock price has fallen about 44% since its NYSE debut at an issuance price of $18 in January, reflecting the overall cautious sentiment in the market towards crypto-related stocks.

According to The Block, Robinhood's stock price fell on Tuesday after the company reported a year-over-year decline in cryptocurrency business revenue for the fourth quarter. However, analysts from research and brokerage firm Bernstein stated that this weakness reflects a temporary "crypto market tension" and reiterated their target price of $160.Robinhood's total revenue reached an all-time high, but cryptocurrency trading revenue fell 38% year-over-year to $221 million. Bernstein analysts noted that the revenue weakness due to decreased crypto trading activity was "expected" and stated that "there is no need to turn bearish when the stock price is approaching a cyclical low." Despite the "crypto market tension," several business metrics for the company remained "robust" in the fourth quarter. Additionally, Robinhood Banking, launched at the end of 2025, has attracted over 25,000 funded customers, with total account balances exceeding $400 million.Analysts pointed out that Robinhood's prediction market set a new record, accounting for about 14% of trading revenue and 8% of total revenue. The platform traded 8.5 billion contracts in the fourth quarter, far exceeding previous expectations. The report indicated that trading volume at the beginning of 2026 reached $4 billion, while the previously forecasted trading volume for 2026 was $27 billion.