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BIT tweeted that in the past two issues of the "Biton Target" report, we hinted that the bear market phase of Bitcoin may be nearing its end. Signals from multiple time dimensions are gradually forming resonance, supporting this judgment. When this judgment was made, Bitcoin was approaching the downward trend line formed since the bear market began in October 2025, just one step away from breaking upwards. Meanwhile, the weekly stochastic oscillator has fallen to a low not seen since January 2023, which was near the phase bottom after the end of the 2021/2022 bear market. Historically, this indicator reading often corresponds to market bottom areas.Our Bitcoin trend model has turned bullish. Trend signals do not always materialize, but considering that Bitcoin itself has strong trends and high volatility characteristics, after the previous two signals reversed quickly, the current round of movement has better conditions for continuation. Additionally, Bitcoin's price is gradually approaching the 21-week moving average, which has a critical boundary significance in our bull-bear judgment framework.$73,000 has always been an important watershed since March 2024 and is a key threshold for confirming whether this trend can reverse. Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $70,000. If it can effectively break through and stabilize above $73,000, the reversal signal will be further confirmed. Currently, various indicators are overall positive, but before the price enters this round's target range, the upward pace may still be disturbed by phase risk factors, so attention should be maintained.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, in the past three hours, a whale starting with 0x3bc opened a 25x leveraged ETH short position, amounting to 5.15 million USD, with an average price of 2,343 USD.After the position incurred a floating loss of about 10%, the address immediately placed a take-profit order, planning to gradually close all short positions in batches as the ETH price starts from below the current average price, within the range of 2,280 USD.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched the U-based OPG perpetual contract, with a leverage range of 1-20 times. The contract trading BOT will also be opened simultaneously.

According to Cointelegraph, the monthly Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin have reached the tightest level in history, with technical signals indicating that the market may experience significant volatility.The report points out that for Bitcoin to further open up upward space, it must first break through the resistance around $80,000. Meanwhile, the monthly RSI for Bitcoin has dropped to a low not seen since the end of 2022 and has once again touched a multi-year support trend line.Market data shows that there is strong selling pressure in the $78,000 to $80,000 range; if it stands above the resistance zone of $76,000 to $78,000, the price may further test $84,000.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, Huang Licheng has slightly increased his holdings in ETH, BTC, and HYPE over the past half hour, and then simultaneously placed sell orders to take partial profits. Among them, the sell order for ETH is the largest, with plans to take profits when the price rises to $2365, with the profit-taking range reaching up to $2425, totaling approximately $4.25 million in sell orders.Currently, this address mainly holds a 25x leveraged long position in ETH, with a position size of $32.8 million, an average price of $2253, and a liquidation price of $2148, making it the largest long position in ETH on the Hyperliquid platform.

The Ethereum Foundation announced that its jointly initiated ETH Rangers project has completed a 6-month operation. The project aims to fund independent researchers who contribute to public safety for the Ethereum ecosystem. Seventeen grantees have achieved multiple results in vulnerability research, security tool development, threat intelligence, and incident response, including: recovering or freezing over $5.8 million, reporting or documenting over 785 vulnerabilities and client issues, identifying about 100 attackers, providing security education content covering over 209,000 users, and handling over 36 security incidents.In addition, the project has also encouraged over 800 teams to participate in security challenges, produced over 80 technical sharing and training sessions, and developed or improved more than 7 open-source security tools. The Ethereum Foundation stated that the related results indicate that decentralized networks require "decentralized defense" and effectively enhance the overall security and resilience of the Ethereum ecosystem.

According to the official announcement, Bitget has launched the U-based GENIUS perpetual contract, with a leverage range of 1-20 times. The contract trading BOT will also be opened simultaneously.

According to CoinDesk, the price of Bitcoin has broken a four-week high and has now risen to over $74,000.Analysis indicates that $75,000 is a key "volatility release point," and due to the negative gamma effect in the derivatives market, price fluctuations may be amplified. This range also coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, which became a major resistance level in January of this year.If the price breaks above $75,000, the upward trend may accelerate further; if it falls back, it could increase downward pressure. The range of $80,000 to $80,600 is a positive gamma zone, where market volatility is relatively low, and the trend may tend toward range-bound fluctuations. Additionally, the 200-day moving average is currently at $87,519, serving as a long-term price reference.

According to Cointelegraph, after the release of the U.S. CPI data, Bitcoin briefly rose to $73,000, attempting to refresh the new high for the phase. The data shows that overall inflation in the U.S. is slightly lower than market expectations, but the significant rise in energy prices has created a divergence signal.Specifically, the U.S. CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year, with the month-on-month data 0.1% lower than expected; among them, energy prices increased by 10.9%, and gasoline prices surged by 21.2% month-on-month, marking the largest single-month increase since 1967.The financial market's reaction was relatively restrained, with U.S. stocks opening basically flat, and Bitcoin did not experience significant fluctuations. Meanwhile, influenced by previous PCE data, the market has largely ruled out the possibility of a short-term interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.On the trading front, analysts believe that Bitcoin is operating within a converging range. If it attempts to hit key highs again in the short term, the market's reaction will become an important signal for subsequent trends, with around $74,000 seen as a key liquidity area.

BIT's weekly report indicates that with the announcement of a ceasefire, inflationary pressures have risen, and the selection of the Federal Reserve Chair is also in a phase of heightened transition expectations. Logically, these factors combined should have led to more significant market fluctuations, but Bitcoin's overall response remains relatively limited. The market's muted reaction to multiple variables coming into play is noteworthy.From a geopolitical perspective, the ceasefire arrangement promoted by Trump still faces considerable uncertainty in its actual implementation. Iran's influence in the passage arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz remains strong, and related shipping traffic is significantly below normal levels.From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is in a clearly oversold range, with some indicators beginning to show marginal recovery. However, it is still too early to conclude that the downward trend has ended based solely on these signals. In 2022, a similar oversold condition lasted for several months, during which there were moments of rebound signals, but ultimately failed to form an effective reversal. More important than whether the indicators rebound is which price level will trigger a market repricing, as well as the outcomes of two key events next week.

Crypto analyst Ali published a lengthy analysis on the X platform, pointing out that rather than debating whether Bitcoin has bottomed out, it is better to focus on whether the current volatility constitutes a "generational entry opportunity." Based on indicators such as long-term trend lines, on-chain liquidity, and cost distribution, the core "value range" of this cycle is defined.In terms of support, the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows that there is a significant concentration of chips in the range of approximately $63,111 to $70,685, forming the current main support zone; if it falls below $63,111, the market may enter a liquidity vacuum. From a long-term trend perspective, Bitcoin is approaching the key upward trend line of the past decade (approximately $56,000 to $60,000), which historically has often corresponded to accumulation phases before major upward movements.

According to monitoring by Hyperinsight, "Maji" Huang Licheng briefly increased his position with a 25x leveraged ETH long position of about 300 coins, bringing the total position size to 25.16 million dollars. He then placed sell orders in the range of 2260 to 2300 dollars, planning to take partial profits of about 1.8 million dollars.It is reported that this address has accumulated a profit of 1.5 million dollars during this round of increase, with account funds rising to 2.57 million dollars, and the current liquidation price for the ETH position is at 2066 dollars.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that the current policy interest rate is well-prepared to respond to market changes, and the rate is roughly within a neutral range.

According to Jinshi News, Société Générale analyst Kit Juckes stated in a report that if the Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year, the dollar may exhibit range-bound fluctuations. He pointed out that the market expects all G10 central banks, except for the Federal Reserve, to raise interest rates, and these rate expectations limit the appreciation of the dollar. If the Federal Reserve significantly cuts interest rates in the context of high inflation and loose fiscal policy, the dollar is likely to decline.

Cryptocurrency market analyst Axel posted a report on social media stating that the current pullback of Bitcoin is significantly smaller than during the periods of 2017-18 (-64.3%) and 2021-22, and is closer to the moderate scenario of 2013-15. However, this does not confirm that a bottom has been formed. The current Bitcoin price is slightly above 1.25 times the realized price ($67,675), and the market is in a critical valuation range.As long as this range can be maintained, or if the price can quickly recover after a brief drop below it, then the market structure remains neutral. If it continues to break below this support level, it is likely to drop to the range of $54,140 near the realized price, around $54,000 to $58,000.

According to the official announcement, Binance will gradually implement the Spot Price Range Execution Rules (PRER) starting from April 14, 2026, to prevent user orders from being executed at abnormal prices under extreme market conditions. This rule will limit orders to be executed only within a dynamic price range, aiming to maintain a fair and orderly market environment.

According to the official announcement, Binance spot will implement a spot price range protection mechanism, allowing orders to be executed only within a dynamic price range.Starting from April 14, 2026, the spot price range protection mechanism (PRER) will be gradually implemented to ensure that trading prices reflect a fair and orderly market.

VanEck's research director Matthew Sigel analyzed in a post on the X platform that the current protective demand in the Bitcoin derivatives market has risen to the historical 99th percentile, which is typically seen as a "contrarian buy signal" under extreme risk-averse market sentiment, and he judges that the market is currently suitable for establishing long positions.The VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (NODE), which Matthew Sigel also manages, has risen 27% since its inception, while Bitcoin has fallen 33% during the same period, achieving lower volatility performance through diversified allocation and focusing on profitable sectors. However, he also warns that if the massive capital expenditures in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector do not generate corresponding returns, it could pose substantial pressure on the market, especially in the context of a concentration in S&P 500 constituents.Note: Percentile is a statistical position concept, with the 99th percentile representing a relatively extreme level, and the 50th percentile representing the median level.

CoinGlass stated that BTC whale order book data shows that the price of Bitcoin is "trapped" within a range. Sell orders are concentrated at $67,500 and in the range of $67,950 to $68,050. Buy orders are located between $65,600 and $65,800, with strong support around $64,900.Currently, it is not a trending market, but rather a sideways market. If the sell wall above is absorbed, it leans bullish; if the buy orders below are withdrawn or consumed, it leans bearish. Until then, the price remains compressed within the range set by the whales.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin rose about 2% in March, ending a consecutive five-month decline, marking the first positive turn after the longest consecutive decline since 2018, with the market focusing on trend reversal signals. Historical data shows that similar rebounds often accompany strong recoveries after several months of decline.In 2019, there was an approximately 300% increase after consecutive declines, and some analysts believe that this round may have found a temporary bottom around the $60,000 mark. However, seasonal patterns indicate discrepancies in April's performance: since 2013, April has mostly seen gains, but in recent years, after a rise in March, the probability of a decline in April has increased, leaving short-term direction uncertain.In terms of price, BTC is currently trading around $68,000, with a key resistance zone between $69,000 and $70,000 above. Further up, attention is on the supply zone between $70,000 and $72,000. If it breaks through effectively, it may test $76,000 or even $80,000; conversely, if it faces pressure, the market may continue its oscillating pattern.