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Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that Bitcoin's volatility and correlation are increasingly approaching gold levels. This trend is significantly underestimated in the current market adjustment and may be a positive signal amid recent market turbulence.According to the 60-day historical volatility comparison data between IBIT and the Gold ETF (GLD) since its launch, it can be seen that Bitcoin's volatility structure is gradually aligning with gold, indicating that its asset characteristics may be changing.Eric Balchunas added that despite the highly volatile market environment, the BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF (IBIT) has continued to outperform U.S. stocks since the escalation of the Iran conflict, achieving more than double the excess returns compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) since the approval of the BlackRock ETF.

Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that the 2x leveraged SK Hynix ETF has grown its asset size by about 10 times this year, and it has now become the third largest ETF in the Hong Kong market, accounting for approximately 8.5% of total ETF assets.Eric Balchunas also pointed out that the ETF's daily trading volume exceeds the $1 billion level. When calculated in terms of the U.S. market size equivalent, this is about $150 billion in daily trading volume, which is considered extremely rare in the global ETF market. If proportionally converted, the scale of this ETF in the U.S. market would be equivalent to about $1.3 trillion level ETFs, but products of this magnitude do not currently exist globally.

According to Cointelegraph, cryptocurrency market analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated that Bitcoin has fallen below the key support range of $75,000 to $76,000. If it cannot recover above $76,600, it will be difficult to support expectations for new highs, and the price may drop to the $60,000 range. He also pointed out that there are several CME Bitcoin futures gaps above, with the highest being above $79,000, and that market pullbacks that occur on Fridays often turn bullish again.

According to Jinshi reports, driven by optimistic sentiment towards AI and strong earnings reports, both the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq have reached all-time highs. However, this round of increase clearly lacks breadth, with most of the gains primarily contributed by large tech stocks. UBS analysts pointed out that in the six weeks ending May 15, the lead of the market-cap weighted S&P 500 index over the equal-weighted S&P 500 index reached the largest margin in at least 35 years. UBS recommends that investors reduce overly concentrated positions and guard against concentration risk.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart revealed that Truth Social, the social platform owned by Trump, has withdrawn its application for a spot Bitcoin ETF. Seyffart stated that the reasoning given in the official press release "is not very reasonable." He pointed out that there are inherent differences in regulatory protections between 33 Act ETPs and 40 Act ETFs, which is common knowledge in the crypto ETF market, and "there are no new changes." He believes that a more likely reason is that competition in the spot Bitcoin ETF market has become extremely fierce, especially after Morgan Stanley launched its MSBT with a fee of only 14 basis points, further compressing market space.Seyffart also noted that Truth Social seems to still plan to launch a more flexible crypto-related ETF strategy and adopt a 40 Act fund structure. He stated, "Does the market really need a 14th spot Bitcoin ETF? But more differentiated products still make sense."

Market analyst Ali posted on platform X that Bitcoin is currently showing signs of "overheating." Data shows that the average realized profit margin for traders has risen to 17%, indicating that a large number of investors are in a significantly profitable state, and potential profit-taking pressure is increasing. The last time a similar situation occurred was in March 2022, when Bitcoin was testing the resistance level of the 200-day moving average, and the average profit margin also reached 17%. Subsequently, the market formed a phase top and re-entered a downward trend. This historical signal has appeared again, warranting high vigilance from the market.

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart stated on the X platform that the 2x leveraged Cerebras Systems ETF (ticker: CBRG) has officially begun trading, while its underlying asset CBRS only started trading the previous afternoon, meaning that the launch of the leveraged ETF was completed just hours apart, setting a record for the rapid product launch pace.This "fast-follow" ETF issuance model is accelerating, and in the future, leveraged ETFs around non-public or high-demand assets such as SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI may also emerge with similar rapid replication issuance paths, reflecting a significant increase in the productization speed of the ETF market for new asset exposures.

According to The Block, the Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) under the crypto asset management company 21Shares was officially listed on Tuesday, with a trading volume of $1.8 million on its first day. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart commented that it was "very robust, far better than the typical ETF first-day performance."It is reported that THYP is the first ETF product that tracks the Hyperliquid (HYPE) spot, allowing investors to gain exposure to HYPE tokens without directly holding the tokens. 21Shares stated that it plans to stake its held HYPE assets in the future. Additionally, Bitwise and Grayscale are also applying for HYPE-related ETF products.

The Bitcoin bull-bear cycle indicator from CryptoQuant has recently turned green for the first time since 2023. On-chain analyst Julio Moreno stated that this usually indicates the market is switching from a bear market structure to a recovery phase. Moreno pointed out that historically, when this indicator exits the bear market zone and enters the "Early Bull" range, it often means that the worst adjustment phase has ended and the market structure begins to repair. However, several analysts emphasize that this indicator is more suitable for judging market phase transitions rather than precise trading signals. Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economics, stated that the greatest significance of such indicators lies in determining "whether Bitcoin has stopped behaving like a bear market asset," and real confirmation still requires sustained demand, improved liquidity, and prices stabilizing at key levels. Currently, Bitcoin has not effectively broken through the $82,000 resistance level. Although it has rebounded about 35% from a low of around $60,000 in February this year, the market remains in a tug-of-war state. Moreno believes that to truly confirm a bull market signal, Bitcoin needs to digest some current "weakness" indicators while facing pressure from a neutral greed-fear index and a complex macro environment. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and CIO of Maelstrom, believes that Bitcoin has completed a phase of bottoming around $60,000 this year. He stated that once it breaks through $90,000, the market may enter an "explosive phase," targeting the previous high of $126,000. Meanwhile, some analysts also remind that on-chain indicators like MVRV and NUPL are essentially more aligned with a "behavioral cycle framework" and should not be seen as absolute predictive tools.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas revealed in a post on X platform that the prediction market ETF has not been launched as originally planned, possibly due to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) deciding to further review the related products. Currently, the delay "is not a fatal issue," but rather seems like the regulatory agency wants to conduct additional checks on the disclosure documents.He pointed out that these products are groundbreaking, and once approved for listing, they will set an important regulatory precedent for prediction market ETFs. Therefore, it is understandable that the SEC wants to spend more time reviewing, and the market is still waiting for further developments.

MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe stated that Bitcoin may not need a new story or catalyst to drive it back to $100,000—Bitcoin has not reached that price for nearly five months. In a post on X on Friday, van de Poppe posed the question, "What kind of narrative can push Bitcoin to $100,000?" He then stated, "No narrative is needed to push the price." He added, "Prices rise, and narratives will emerge. That’s why relying solely on math, statistics, and logic is enough to win, and why the current ranges of Bitcoin are still good accumulation zones."Many participants in the crypto market still believe that Bitcoin needs a strong narrative to drive prices upward. Recently, the market's focus has been on potential catalysts such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, regulatory progress in the U.S., and inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Some participants also pointed to the potential passage of the CLARITY Act as a factor that could drive Bitcoin upward. However, veteran trader Peter Brandt stated that the CLARITY Act is a positive step for the industry but is unlikely to be the main catalyst for pushing Bitcoin prices higher. Brandt said, "Is this a macro development that shakes the world? No. It's certainly necessary, but it is not an event that should redefine value." Meanwhile, White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt stated this week at the Bitcoin conference in Las Vegas that a "major announcement" regarding President Trump's Bitcoin reserves will be made in a few weeks.

According to Jinshi News, Asian stock markets are expected to perform weakly when they open on Tuesday, as investors turn their attention to the earnings reports of U.S. tech giants with a total market capitalization of nearly $16 trillion. Walter Todd, president and chief investment officer of Greenwood Capital Associates, stated that the U.S. stock market has rebounded to historical highs, seemingly ignoring the ongoing geopolitical risks, mainly due to upward revisions in earnings expectations and improved market sentiment. He warned that any cracks in optimistic expectations could pose significant risks to market trends.

According to Jin Shi reports, the U.S. stock market fell on Thursday amid volatile trading, as hopes for a quick resolution to the Iran conflict gradually faded. Analyst Jay Hatfield stated that investors are struggling to digest mixed earnings reports, and concerns about the disruptive impact of artificial intelligence on the software industry have resurfaced. He pointed out that the market had previously risen significantly, and some investors are looking to reduce their positions, using the war as an excuse is not necessarily a bad thing.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that Bitcoin ETF fund flows have turned positive across the board, stating "all rolling periods we track are positive," marking the first time in several months. Among them, BlackRock's IBIT has seen cumulative inflows of about $3 billion, placing it in the top 1% of all ETF fund flow performances. However, Eric Balchunas pointed out that there are still several billion dollars needed to return to the historical cumulative fund flow high of $62.8 billion, but at least it indicates that the sentiment around Bitcoin ETF funds has clearly improved and market demand is recovering.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that BlackRock's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund IBIT has been rising almost daily for the past three weeks, increasing by about 3.5% again, and has accumulated a rise of about 19% since the market sell-off triggered by the conflict between the U.S. and Iran. As concerns about geopolitical impacts have eased, fund sentiment has clearly recovered, driving Bitcoin-related ETFs to continue strengthening.

TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza reiterated a buy rating on Bitcoin reserve company MSTR and raised the target price to $385.

Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated on the X platform that Bitcoin ETFs have once again recorded a solid week of inflows, and overall funds have officially turned positive. Although the previous outflows were not significant, against the backdrop of limited price increase momentum, funds have still successfully "filled the gap," demonstrating strong resilience.

The latest U.S. PCE inflation data largely met expectations, easing market uncertainty, and Bitcoin's price stabilized after previously reaching around $73,000. Data shows that the core PCE year-on-year is 3%, and month-on-month is 0.4%. The market is also influenced by the easing situation between the U.S. and Iran, but analysts point out that the current PCE data has not yet reflected potential energy price shocks.Although the inflation data did not trigger significant market fluctuations, investors remain cautious about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for this year. Economist Mohamed El-Erian stated that compared to PCE, the upcoming CPI data to be released this week will have a more critical impact on the market, especially against the backdrop of oil price fluctuations. On the trading front, the market remains in a volatile range, with liquidity mainly concentrated in the $69,000 to $76,000 range. Trader Michaël van de Poppe believes that as long as the key support range holds, Bitcoin is expected to start a new round of upward momentum, targeting $80,000.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin is currently priced at about $71,200, and Ethereum is at $2,185, with the overall market maintaining a range-bound fluctuation. Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone warned that if Bitcoin cannot recover to $75,000, there is a risk of dropping to $10,000; Fundstrat founder Tom Lee believes that the market bottom has been established.In terms of derivatives, Bitcoin futures open interest has risen to 726,000 contracts, with the 24-hour CVD being positive for two consecutive days, and the funding rate slightly above zero, indicating an overall bullish tendency; the CVD and funding rates for ETH, XRP, and Solana are slightly negative. The volatility index continues to decline, with the market expecting price fluctuations of only about 2.5% around Friday's inflation data.Regarding altcoins, MANA and AERO each rose by about 6%, but MANA's increase was accompanied by a 25% surge in open interest, indicating it is mainly driven by leverage. The market is focused on whether Bitcoin can effectively break through $75,000 and establish support; if achieved, it may trigger a rotation of funds into oversold altcoin sectors.

Analyst Alicharts updates multiple long-term bottom indicator signals for Bitcoin to reference Bitcoin's bottom points.Key support levels include around $63,111 shown by URPD, the trend line guarding for nearly 10 years at $56,000-$60,000, the structural bottom of CVDD at $47,960, and the extreme pain zone of MVRV at $43,647. Alicharts suggests that investors diversify funds into areas between $63,000 and $36,000, rather than precisely predicting a single bottom. Currently, the market is mostly in a wait-and-see or distribution phase, suitable for macro rebound layouts.