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Renowned trader Killa recently released a video predicting market trends before and after the U.S. midterm elections. His analysis summarizes the timing relationship between previous midterm elections and Bitcoin's bottoming out (2014: bottomed out about 70 days after the midterm elections. 2018: bottomed out about 40-44 days later. 2022: bottomed out almost during the midterm elections), suggesting that Bitcoin may form a weekly level bottom before the U.S. midterm elections on November 3.He also presented two main scenario hypotheses: Early bottom scenario: BTC forms a low point before (or around) the midterm elections (possibly sweeping the current low or maintaining above 80k), then starts to rebound, first testing the 80k area, and may eventually surge to 95k. This would lead to a bullish fourth quarter, contrary to the common expectation of "risk-off after the elections." Classic risk-off scenario: first rises sharply (possibly sweeping the high point or even reaching 94-95k), then experiences a historically common sell-off/risk-off decline after the midterm elections (similar in 3 out of the last 4 occurrences).Killa advises investors to closely observe the price structure leading up to the midterm elections and react accordingly. If an early bottom is reached, they may hold bullish positions after the elections; if a high is reached and then starts to weaken, consider risk-off. Overall, he emphasizes that the pattern is accelerating in change and cannot simply replicate the historical experience of "must drop after the elections." Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at 74,688 USD and turned bullish during the market-wide decline on June 5.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, crypto investor and YouTuber Lark Davis stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that although Bitcoin is consolidating in the $80,000 range, the next major cycle is just around the corner. He cited about a dozen on-chain technical indicators, including record whale accumulation and the two-week MACD, to determine that the market bottom has formed at $57,000.Davis believes we are still in the early stages of a new bull market, with opportunities in both Bitcoin and altcoins. He pointed out that Bitcoin dominates the inflow of ETF funds and mentioned the perspective of observing the market by the proportion of ETF inflow relative to market capitalization; he also discussed whether the "four-year cycle has failed," drawing an analogy with the development of gold ETFs to illustrate how ETFs are changing the market structure of Bitcoin.He described this bear market as the shortest and shallowest in history and discussed how traumatic bear market experiences make it difficult for investors to believe that the market will improve. Additionally, he mentioned the regulatory outlook for the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserves and the Clarity Act, believing that if Bitcoin reserves are written into law, it would add legitimacy to them.

Glassnode released data on platform X stating that during yesterday's BTC decline, there was once again a situation of seller capitulation. Each wave of loss selling coincided with local bottoms: early August, mid-August, and mid-September.Since the peak in September, profit-taking has slowed down. If this pattern holds, the sell-off just above $80,000 yesterday would mark the bottom.

Trader Killa stated on platform X that the supply of short-term holders (STH) of Bitcoin has recently reached "overheated" levels, a situation similar to the market's behavior after breaking away from the macro bottom in 2023, which could be another signal of a market bottom forming.Killa pointed out that after the supply of Bitcoin short-term holders reached similar highs in 2023, the BTC price continued to rise and maintained an upward trend in higher time frame (HTF) trends. The current market structure is quite similar to previous cycles, and investors should not overly rely on the fear and greed index to judge market direction. Killa indicated that market sentiment may remain irrational in the long term, and short-term sentiment indicators do not necessarily reflect long-term trends.

Crypto analyst Ali posted that the 10-minute cycle chart of Ethereum seems to be forming an "Adam and Eve bottom" pattern. The key resistance level currently being watched in the market is the neckline around 2520 USD. If ETH can consistently close above this level, it may confirm a bullish breakout and further open up upward space, with the target area focusing on 2640 USD.

Chairman of BitMine, Tom Lee, stated during his speech at the TOKEN2049 summit in Singapore that the cryptocurrency market has entered a "full bull market." If a starting point for this bull market were to be determined, he believes it would be in August of this year. Tom Lee mentioned that, from a four-year cycle perspective, the market bottom has already appeared, and this cycle could become "the largest cryptocurrency bull market in history."Tom Lee indicated that there are four new driving forces behind this bull market compared to previous cycles, including institution-driven asset tokenization, intergenerational wealth transfer over the next decade, the continuous absorption of cryptocurrency supply by Digital Asset Treasury companies (DAT), and the development of AI and Crypto integration scenarios such as AI Agent payments. He believes that the migration of traditional financial assets to the blockchain will become an important source of incremental funds, and that AI Agents are more likely to use cryptocurrency wallets for payments and settlements in the future.

Renowned trader Killa posted that he expects Bitcoin's peak this year to reach $97,000, with most of the year remaining below that price level in a range-bound movement.Killa stated that in the short term, $80K-$83K is critical for Bitcoin. If it falls below that, the next possible range will be $74K-$77K. That could very well be the last capitulation bottom before pushing towards $97K.However, if the strength continues, the pullback could be much shallower, possibly only down to the low of $80K, followed by the next wave of increase.

Renowned trader Killa stated that the current Bitcoin trend has clearly shifted, yet we are still at the peak stage of the "market skepticism bull market."In the 2023 bull market, if one went long every time there was a sweep below the "established low" (meaning a low that has been confirmed by the market and has shown support), the price only dropped a maximum of 8% below that low; in some cases, it only dropped 4-5% before immediately rebounding.Our current "established low" is 82.5K; based on historical performance, the expected downward deviation will be very small. Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at 74,688 USD and turned to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Variant Fund investment partner Alana Levin stated in her market thoughts for Q4 2026 that the bottom of the crypto market likely occurred at some point in July. She wrote in early July that the bottom seemed close, with Bitcoin at $59,000, Ethereum at $1,600, and ZEC at $420. She mentioned that the question has shifted to whether the bull market is genuinely starting or if it's a false rally, and which projects will benefit the most in the early bull market, assuming the market is in the early stages of a new crypto bull market.Levin indicated that the increasingly formed consensus is that marginal funds are most likely to flow into value storage protocols as currency and protocols that can generate income. She believes Bitcoin is the dominant asset for digital value storage currently, while other competing assets may be valued based on their market capitalization relative to Bitcoin's market cap and its changes. For income-generating protocols, she expects investors to examine whether the income comes from crypto-native activities (like Pump) or traditional financial activities (like Hyperliquid), whether it persists during market downturns, and profit margins; projects with exposure to real-world assets and stablecoin growth, which are expected to attract institutional users and are still led by founders after surviving a bear market, are more likely to achieve higher multiples.She also categorized on-chain projects that can benchmark against non-crypto businesses as a third category, believing that most belong to narrative trading rather than long-term investment. Themes include routing, reasoning, computing power, data collection, and interface-related directions in artificial intelligence, and she is skeptical about whether most scenarios require blockchain; if such projects significantly outperform, she would view it as a signal of nearing the top.

Cryptocurrency analyst tedpillows stated: Bitcoin looks set to ultimately close above the 50-week moving average.He mentioned that Bitcoin only needs to break through $83,000 to confirm that the bottom has been reached.

Famous analyst Willy Woo uses the Fisher Transform indicator to analyze BTC monthly charts, pointing out that the current golden cross appearing under this indicator is the fourth bottom signal in history, with the previous three not showing false breakouts. However, Willy Woo emphasizes that this is not an immediate reversal buy signal; the price may first consolidate before continuing in the original direction. In bull markets, there have also been instances where the Fisher indicator showed a death cross indicating bearishness, followed by a golden cross indicating bullishness, yet the market did not end.Willy Woo views tops and bottoms separately: at the top, long-term investors retreat from buying, while speculative trading continues to push prices higher. The market relies on momentum to continue rising but lacks substantial long-term support, leading to frequent false turning points. Therefore, his approach is to reduce positions in batches rather than predict an exact major top. At the bottom, the decline creates a vacuum in buying, and speculative trading exits. When prices drop to levels that investors consider valuable, buying re-enters, and at this point, speculative trading is scarce, making reversals cleaner. Thus, many indicators are clearer at the bottom than at the top.

According to The Block, Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that the approximately $58,000 low reached around June 30 remains his assessment of the bottom of the current bear market phase, and Grayscale is currently advising clients to allocate Bitcoin.Pandl mentioned in an interview with The Block during the Avalanche summit in New York that they have maintained the view that $58,000 is the bottom of this bear market phase for the past few months. This assessment echoes the comments made by Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, who stated on September 10 that Bitcoin has bottomed out in the current cycle and expects a sustained upward trend for the next two years.Pandl stated that Grayscale uses a three-part framework to assess whether clients should allocate Bitcoin, including long-term structural trends, market cycle phases, and macro context. He believes that all three conditions are currently met, thus giving clients the "green light" to allocate Bitcoin. As of Thursday morning, Bitcoin was above $76,000, up 0.8% in 24 hours, but still down about 39% from its historical high of approximately $126,000.Pandl also compared Bitcoin with Zcash, noting that Grayscale has offered investment products for Zcash for about nine years. He believes that Zcash occupies an "underutilized and unexplored design space," rather than directly competing with Bitcoin, and pointed out that as artificial intelligence becomes more powerful, privacy issues are receiving more attention, with Zcash providing investors a way to express their views on personal and financial privacy.

Cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo stated, "I personally believe the probability of the cryptocurrency market hitting the bottom is 90%. Based on the liquidity of long-term investors returning, we are currently in an early bull market structure. The core of the judgment is the liquidity structure of BTC; there is an intention to avoid historical cyclical patterns, although these cyclical patterns have performed exceptionally well in determining market bottoms so far. According to cyclical patterns, the consensus probability among other analysts is about 40%.From the perspective of liquidity structure, we are currently in an early bull market, and the market bottom has likely already occurred. If this judgment is correct, then there is another question: how long will this bull market last? Will it last for 3 years? I wouldn't necessarily bet on that, as historical cyclical patterns are gradually losing effectiveness. As long as the inflow of investor funds does not show significant weakness, the bull market structure will continue, but the duration is currently uncertain."

CryptoQuant analyst CW8900 stated that Bitcoin is breaking through the bottom and starting a bullish trend. The spent output profit ratio (SOPR) of long-term holders (LTH) is rising above 1, and the market is shifting from a bearish phase to a neutral one, initiating a comprehensive upward trend.He emphasized that in this cycle, the SOPR has not yet exceeded 6, while historically, cycle tops usually form within this range. This means that long-term holders have not yet experienced a profit-taking phase, and a true bull market rally has not yet occurred. Everything prior has been a preparatory phase for the current upward trend, with LTH holdings at historically high levels and continuing to increase until recently. He believes that the real upward trend is starting now, and the cycle top will appear in the profit-taking range when the SOPR exceeds 6.

"BTC OG Insider Whale" agent Garrett Jin released a market perspective stating that Bitcoin bulls are currently in an unfavorable position, with BTC continuing to hover above $76,500.Garrett Jin expressed that he is not optimistic about the current prolonged bottoming market, believing that the longer the consolidation period, the more likely BTC is to break below the $76,500 support and further seek lower support levels, rather than immediately reversing.He pointed out that if Bitcoin wants to show a stronger trend again, it needs to at least regain and maintain above $78,300.

BitMine Chairman Tom Lee stated that the cryptocurrency market will enter an extremely bullish phase in the next 12 months. He believes that the market experienced over $19 billion in leveraged position liquidations on October 10 last year due to the U.S. threatening to impose a 100% tariff on China, and a large amount of borrowed funds has been cleared, suggesting that the bottom of the cryptocurrency market's four-year cycle may appear next month.Tom Lee is also optimistic about the long-term opportunities brought by asset tokenization. He estimates that if $100 trillion in assets migrate on-chain in the future and generate 1% in revenue, it could produce about $1.1 trillion in annual revenue, corresponding to a market opportunity of about $20 trillion based on traditional business valuations.However, BitMine currently holds 5.93 million ETH, with related positions showing a paper loss of about $5 billion. Fundstrat has continuously advised clients to allocate 2% of their portfolios to cryptocurrency assets over the past decade; Tom Lee stated that in the accounts of clients who adopted this advice, cryptocurrency assets currently account for over 85% of their portfolios.

CoinDesk cites the opinion of Tom Lee, co-founder and chief investment officer of Fundstrat Global Advisors, stating that the cryptocurrency market will be "very bullish" in the next 12 months.Tom Lee indicated that the excess leverage was cleared out last October, and the four-year cycle will bottom out next month.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the supply ratio of long-term Bitcoin holders has significantly increased during this pullback, with many traders buying and holding for over 6 months during the dip.This is a common global behavior during bear markets or significant pullbacks, where long-term holders have much lower Bitcoin liquidity, helping to form a solid bottom support. This is a positive signal on a long-term level, slowly accumulating.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, UNI has rebounded 98% from the bottom this month. The new address 0xc86...F4972 withdrew 676,874 UNI from Binance 2 hours ago, worth 4.277 million dollars, at an average price of 6.32 dollars.