cp

According to Jinshi reports, "the Federal Reserve's mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos stated that economists expect the drop in energy prices last month to lower the overall CPI for June. However, for the Federal Reserve, the core indicators are more important at the moment, with the core CPI expected to be close to May's 0.21% (month-on-month). Subsequently, the market's focus will shift to the PPI and the implications of PPI trends for the PCE.

According to QCP Capital, it has been 12 days since the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding, and both sides experienced military conflicts again over the weekend, each accusing the other of violating the 60-day ceasefire agreement, putting pressure on the prospects for the second round of negotiations. Oil prices remain around $70, but if supply recovers slower than expected, there is still an upward risk for oil prices.In the cryptocurrency market, the implied volatility of BTC and ETH continues to rise, with increased demand for BTC put options in the $55,000-$58,000 range expiring in July. There has been a continuous net outflow from spot ETFs, concerns related to Strategy, and the pressure from the US stock market has weighed on market sentiment. However, there was also a significant buying interest in BTC call options at $64,000 expiring on the 17th. This week, the market will focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the ECB forum, as well as the ISM Manufacturing PMI and US non-farm payroll data. Given the low liquidity ahead of the holiday, market volatility is expected to remain high.

According to Jinshi reports, the tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated sharply this week, with mutual attacks leading to the collapse of a fragile ceasefire agreement that had lasted for about three weeks. The inflationary pressure driven by rising oil prices has reignited expectations for the Federal Reserve to tighten its policies. During the same period, U.S. stocks largely ignored geopolitical uncertainties, with the "AI trading" frenzy regaining momentum, as the S&P 500 index approached an all-time high, and both it and the Nasdaq recorded a consecutive weekly gain. SK Hynix's ADR surged 13% on its first day, with a fundraising amount of $26.5 billion, making it the highest fundraising foreign company IPO in U.S. stock market history.In the coming week, the U.S.-Iran situation, U.S. CPI and other economic data, and speeches from Federal Reserve officials will capture Wall Street's attention. There is particular anticipation for whether Federal Reserve Chairman Waller can provide more clues about the interest rate outlook under questioning in Congress, although his determination to cancel forward guidance leaves little room for optimism. The macro data events for next week are as follows:MondayFederal Reserve Governor Waller speaksTuesdayU.S. ADP employment change for the week ending June 27U.S. June CPI and core CPIFederal Reserve Chairman Waller attends the House Financial Services Committee "Federal Reserve Semiannual Monetary Policy Report" hearingWednesday2027 FOMC voter and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee participates in a fireside chatU.S. June PPI and core PPIFOMC permanent voter and New York Fed President Williams speaksFederal Reserve Chairman Waller attends the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee "Federal Reserve Semiannual Monetary Policy Report" hearingFederal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditionsThursdayU.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending July 11, U.S. June retail sales month-on-month, U.S. July Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed President Logan speaksFederal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson speaks on the economy and monetary policy

According to Jinshi News, Deutsche Bank stated that Federal Reserve officials will speak intensively next week, focusing on their interpretation of the June CPI data and potential interest rate hike tendencies.Waller will give a speech on Monday, Chair Waller will testify on Tuesday and Wednesday, and several officials will deliver outlook speeches on Friday. Waller is expected to reiterate recent statements, while Waller's speech will be closely monitored for signals of his policy inclination.

According to Jinshi reports, Bank of America Securities analysts stated in a report that the overall CPI in the United States may decrease by 0.09% month-on-month in June, partly due to a significant drop in gasoline prices. However, the core inflation rate is expected to remain high at 0.28% month-on-month or 2.9% year-on-year, partly because demand related to the World Cup is pushing up inflation in the service sector.Based on this forecast, analysts expect core PCE to be slightly stronger than CPI again.

QCP Capital released the latest report stating that Japanese government bond yields have retreated, easing market concerns about the unwinding of yen arbitrage trades and capital inflows, which drove Bitcoin to rebound to around $64,000.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that if the rise in core CPI is driven by the service sector, it would concern me more than if it were driven by goods or oil-related items.

According to Wall Street News, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang announced at the annual shareholder meeting that the era of AI agents has officially arrived. He redefined the new type of data center as an "AI factory" specifically for producing tokens, and revealed that the new Vera CPU and Vera Rubin platform, designed to meet the ultra-low latency demands of agents, have fully entered mass production. Huang emphasized that as AI creates substantial economic value, the demand for computing power is showing an accelerating expansion trend, and its core software ecosystem CUDA is gradually transforming into a toolbox dedicated to agents.Regarding market access and compliance, Huang revealed that the U.S. government has now approved the export of H200 chips to Chinese customers, but this business has yet to generate any revenue, and there remains uncertainty regarding actual importation. At the same time, he rarely issued a public warning about the risks of chip smuggling, clearly stating that NVIDIA will not provide any hardware or software support and repair services for restricted smuggled products, and bluntly said that relying on smuggling to piece together advanced AI data centers is a "dead end." Additionally, he reiterated the long-term commitment to capital returns, planning to return over 50% of free cash flow to shareholders.

According to official news from CoinUp, regarding recent market discussions about CoinUp and CPX, CoinUp stated that Zhu Pan is not the operator of the CoinUp platform and does not participate in the core operations of the platform; his role is solely as a project party for a project launched on the CoinUp platform.CoinUp also expressed gratitude to users, the community, and the media for their attention and supervision of CPX. In response to the recent significant short-term price fluctuations of the CPX/USDT trading pair, the platform previously announced that this fluctuation was mainly due to concentrated selling pressure from the market, and the specific reasons are currently under further investigation and verification, with updates to be provided in a timely manner based on the progress of the investigation.CoinUp emphasized that after a comprehensive security check of the platform, it has not suffered from hacker attacks, data breaches, or system vulnerabilities; the wallet system, account system, and asset custody are all in a secure and controllable state. The platform's recharge, withdrawal, and trading functions are operating normally, user assets are secure, and account data is complete, with no reported losses of user assets.CoinUp stated that it will continue to improve its risk control monitoring mechanisms, maintain market trading order, and advise users to rely on official channel information, view market fluctuations rationally, and pay attention to controlling trading risks.

The latest market report from QCP indicates that Bitcoin surged past $65,000 after Strategy announced an increase in cash reserves and the purchase of an additional 520 Bitcoins, improving short-term market sentiment.At the same time, there was a noticeable rotation within the U.S. stock market, with the Nasdaq weakening and small-cap stocks strengthening, reflecting that risk appetite has not broadly weakened.

Wintermute stated in its latest market report that there was a significant rebound in the market last week, driven by two main factors: first, the May CPI data met expectations (year-on-year 4.2%), and there was no unexpected overheating as previously feared by the market; second, the end of the Iran conflict led to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in a sharp decline in oil prices.Wintermute believes that since October 2025, Bitcoin has experienced three pullbacks of over 20%, and the current drop from $83,000 to $60,000 is considered a "bear market false breakout." Currently, there has been no structural reversal in the inflows of ETFs, stablecoins, and digital asset treasury (DAT), and liquidity remains a key factor limiting the sustainability of the rebound.The report pointed out that the risk-reward ratio for BTC around $60,000 is attractive, but the bottom has not yet been confirmed, and the possibility of further probing down to the $50,000 range cannot be ruled out.

Sources say that Nvidia has begun marketing its first standalone Central Processing Unit (CPU) product, Vera, to Chinese customers. This chip is designed for Agentic AI systems and has now entered mass production, marking Nvidia's attempt to further expand its presence in the Chinese market through CPU products.Insiders indicate that some Chinese customers have shown interest in Vera. One large Chinese cloud computing company plans to purchase over 300 servers equipped with dual Vera CPUs for testing and will decide whether to scale up purchases after the testing is completed.Vera is built on the Arm Holdings architecture and is Nvidia's first standalone CPU product. Nvidia previously stated that Vera's performance in AI agent-related computing tasks can reach 1.8 times that of competing products, and it is expected that this product will contribute approximately $20 billion in revenue before the end of the current fiscal year (by the end of January next year).Reports point out that as the focus of the AI industry gradually shifts from model training to inference computing, CPUs and custom chips are gaining more attention. Vera also puts Nvidia in direct competition with Intel and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which have long dominated the server CPU market.Insiders have noted that due to strict restrictions imposed by the U.S. on high-end GPU exports, CPUs face relatively fewer regulatory hurdles in the Chinese market compared to GPU products. Currently, some Chinese customers plan to first deploy Vera chips in overseas data centers for testing. Meanwhile, software ecosystem compatibility and the existing domestic AI chip deployment system may still affect the subsequent large-scale adoption of Vera.

According to Jinshi, when asked by reporters if he was concerned about the latest inflation data released today, U.S. President Trump said, "No, I like it. I love inflation." The latest data shows that the U.S. May CPI rose 4.2% year-on-year, reaching a three-year high, while the core CPI year-on-year rate hit a new high since September of last year.

According to Jinshi, the seasonally adjusted core CPI for the United States in May was 0.2%, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.4%.

According to Jinshi, the seasonally adjusted core CPI year-on-year rate in the United States for May was 2.9%, in line with market expectations, with the previous value being 2.8%.

According to Jinshi reports, the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the United States in May was 335.123, slightly higher than the market expectation of 335.114, and the previous value was 333.02.

According to Jinshi, the U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI year-on-year recorded 4.2%, in line with market expectations, reaching a new high since April 2023.

According to Jinshi reports, the U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate is 0.5%, expected 0.50%, previous value 0.60%.