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Bernstein reiterates optimism for Circle: Q2 performance alleviates concerns over stablecoin competition, maintains target price of $140

According to The Block, research firm Bernstein reaffirmed its "Outperform" rating and maintained a target price of $140 after Circle announced its Q2 2026 financial results, believing that the company's latest performance constitutes a "reverse validation" of the market's bearish views. Bernstein analysts stated that the market currently underestimates USDC's long-term growth potential and Circle's advantages in distribution channels, liquidity, and regulatory compliance, due to two major core concerns regarding Circle—intensifying competition in stablecoins and changes in the interest rate environment that may affect reserve income.Investors may not have fully accounted for the future revenue opportunities from transaction fees, partner ecosystems, and the Arc blockchain that Circle could generate. The firm specifically pointed out that several infrastructure initiatives recently advanced by Circle, including obtaining a national trust bank license in the U.S., expanding the Circle Payments Network, and the planned launch of the Arc public chain mainnet on September 16, could all become future growth drivers. Additionally, Bernstein noted that Circle has raised its guidance for other revenues and profit margins after deducting distribution costs for 2026, expecting to confirm approximately $180 million in Arc token presale revenue.Analysts believe that future staking yields, gas fees, and ecosystem partnership revenues from Arc have not been fully reflected in current valuation expectations. As of the end of Q2, the circulating supply of USDC was $73.3 billion, a decrease of 5% from the previous quarter but an increase of 19% year-over-year. Bernstein believes that Circle is shifting from a purely crypto trading infrastructure to payments, real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, and broader financial infrastructure, which will drive USDC into the next phase of growth. Circle's stock closed at $63.28 on Wednesday, and Bernstein's target price of $140 implies a potential upside of about 121%.

Vitalik published an overview of Ethereum's long-term roadmap, Lean Ethereum will become the third major iteration

According to a post by Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum researchers recently held a meeting in Berlin to update the long-term development roadmap of the protocol (strawmap.org). Vitalik pointed out that "Lean Ethereum" is not a one-time upgrade, but a series of improvements that will be phased in over the next three to four years, with an importance comparable to the "Merge," covering almost every core module of the protocol.The main content includes: Verification Mechanism: Introducing recursive STARKs to replace the existing direct re-execution method, becoming a core component at the protocol level; Quantum Security: Significantly elevated priority, all quantum-vulnerable components will be replaced, and the design for quantum-safe Blobs is in progress; Consensus Layer: Decoupling usable chains from finality, achieving one to two rounds of finality, with better security and lower latency; State Layer: The existing dynamic state remains unchanged, but new types of states with greater scalability (such as UTXO storage, circular buffers, etc.) will be added, with an expectation that by 2030 Ethereum will have 2 TB of dynamic state + 100 TB of new type state, allowing for over 10 times reduction in Gas fees after the migration of applications like ERC20 and NFTs; Privacy: Upgrading from an additional feature to a primary goal, integrated into designs such as Mempool and state trees; VM: Introducing leanISA or RISC-V beyond EVM, with the long-term goal of direct protocol layer only.
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