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BCH $214.79 +1.21%
LINK $8.18 +0.17%
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Data: The market capitalization of USDT has dropped to historically extreme levels, and BTC's rebound faces liquidity contraction pressure

CryptoQuant analyst Moreno stated that USDT liquidity is experiencing one of the most severe contraction phases in history. The market value of USDT has decreased by about 4 billion dollars over the past 60 days, approaching historically low levels. At the same time, the liquidity contraction is still accelerating, with the USDT supply decreasing by about 870 million dollars in the past 11 days, indicating that this is not merely a lagging effect caused by previous redemptions.Stablecoins are the most direct source of available liquidity in the crypto market, and the continuous expansion of USDT is usually accompanied by stronger price performance of BTC, while prolonged contraction phases often correspond to weak demand, market corrections, and declining risk appetite. However, the correlation between USDT flows and BTC prices does not prove a direct causal relationship; both may be influenced by risk-averse sentiment, with redemption pressure and spot selling occurring simultaneously. The current decline in BTC is not an isolated event but is happening against the backdrop of a continuous shrinkage of one of the main sources of market liquidity, which also explains why the recent rebound has been difficult to sustain. To improve the market environment, we need to see the 60-day change in USDT stabilize, daily supply contraction slow down, and re-enter an expansion phase.

SPCX rebounded by 9.5%, with large addresses opening $27.4 million in long positions in one day

According to TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight) monitoring, SPCX continued its rebound today, currently reported at $114.69, up 5.5% in 24 hours, and rebounding 9.5% from its low. From yesterday to today, all 7 million-dollar addresses have established long positions in SPCX, currently holding a total of 238,800 shares, with a position value of approximately $27.386 million, a weighted average entry price of about $112, and a total floating profit of approximately $636,000. Among them, the address starting with 0xb37 contributed the largest single entry.This whale has cumulatively bought 147,500 shares of SPCX through 83 transactions since early this morning, with a transaction amount of approximately $16.958 million and a weighted transaction price of about $114.96; currently holding a long position of approximately $16.918 million with 20x leverage, which is its only current position. As of the time of writing, this position has a floating loss of about $40,000 (-5.1%), accounting for 61.8% of the total long positions of the aforementioned 7 addresses. Its liquidation price is $105.43, only about 8.1% away from the current price, close to SPCX's low of $105 last night; if the price falls back to last night's low, this whale will face liquidation risk first.Funding records show that this address received 1.449 million USDC yesterday morning and began establishing long positions in SPCX about 20 hours later. During the position building period this morning, the source address transferred an additional 350,000 USDC to it; the two recent transfers totaled approximately $1.799 million. This address first transferred in about 1 million USDC on July 10 and began trading. Since then, it has traded 21 assets, covering semiconductors, US stock indices, crude oil, and cryptocurrencies, with a cumulative profit of approximately $572,000.

NVIDIA announces the mass production of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO), related concept stocks may see a rebound

Gilad Shainer, Senior Vice President of NVIDIA, announced at a recent technology forum that CPO has entered the mass production stage. The switches co-developed with the supply chain have begun delivery to closely collaborating customers and are being deployed in-house. It is expected that starting this year, switches equipped with CPO technology will be widely adopted in AI factories around the world.Shainer pointed out that the biggest opportunity in the future optical communication market lies in vertical scaling, which will require bandwidth efficiency more than ten times that of horizontal scaling. Previously, Shainer was responsible for R&D at Mellanox, and after the company was acquired by NVIDIA, he led the AI platform network transmission department and co-developed the COUPE silicon photonics packaging platform with TSMC. This announcement helps to dispel market concerns about the upgrade of optical communication specifications and boosts the operational outlook for related manufacturers.It is reported that NVIDIA has already implemented CPO on Spectrum-X, aiming to align with the upcoming large-scale deployment of the Vera Rubin AI platform (which has a computing speed at least three times faster than GB300). Trendforce estimates that the CPO/NPO market size will exceed $39 billion by 2030, with significant acceleration in growth momentum from 2028 to 2029 as optical interconnects are introduced with Scale-up.

Dan Bin: The recent de-leveraging pullback is a necessary path, and the rebound of the Nasdaq in August is expected to continue until Nvidia's earnings report

Dongfang Harbor Chairman Dan Bin expressed his views this morning, stating that in July, the chip sector experienced a sharp decline and massive leveraged liquidations, but in the grand AI cycle, such a level of correction is both a necessary path and a sign of market health.The market has yet to fully understand the infinite demand potential of AI as an "intelligent" product. Concerns about capital expenditures from giants have echoed the early story of Amazon AWS, but the opportunities in AI are far greater. Funds are flowing back from low-quality tech stocks to high-quality targets, confirming the judgment of a "return of the king" by the end of 2026. Storage chips still face cyclical risks and high volatility, so it is advisable to wait for technical repairs, with a more optimistic view on fundamentally solid companies like Nvidia, Broadcom, and TSMC, as funds will flow more towards quality application layers.On the other hand, the business of hyperscale cloud providers is accelerating growth, with a large backlog of orders and an increasing growth rate, indicating that the previous punishment of capital expenditures was a misjudgment, and these investments will translate into certain future revenues. Looking ahead to August, the Nasdaq's rebound is expected to continue until Nvidia's earnings report, and the tech sector's rolling adjustment is nearing its end, with funds accelerating back into high-quality tech stocks.In terms of specific sector operations, it is currently not advisable to blindly chase high prices in the chip and storage (memory) sectors. However, investors can adopt a short-term band trading strategy of buying on dips until the storage sector completely emerges from its bottoming pattern on a technical level.
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