rebound

The on-chain data analysis platform glassnode stated on platform X that since the beginning of February, every attempt by Bitcoin to regain the $70,000 mark has encountered demand exhaustion, leading to subsequent declines.Data shows that even a net realized profit outflow of just over $5 million per hour is enough to trigger a price pullback. In contrast, during the euphoric phase of the market in the third quarter of 2025, the scale of profit-taking surged to between $200 million and $350 million per hour, yet the price was still able to maintain an upward trend, indicating that the buying support at that time was significantly stronger. Glassnode pointed out that the current market is in a structurally thin liquidity environment, making it a considerable challenge for Bitcoin to sustainably recover the $70,000 to $80,000 range, and the rebound process may be more convoluted.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin's price fluctuated on Thursday, rebounding to around $67,000 after briefly dropping to about $65,900, with market attention shifting to Trump's latest statements on trade and tariffs.He previously posted on Truth Social that the U.S. trade deficit has "decreased by 78%" due to tariffs imposed on other countries and companies, and expressed optimism about achieving a surplus for the first time in decades this year.Analysts believe that if expectations for tariffs rise, it could affect the inflation trajectory and reinforce market pricing for "higher rates for longer." In this scenario, the dollar typically strengthens, risk assets come under pressure, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are also susceptible to changes in liquidity and interest rate expectations.Market views suggest that if the tariff narrative strengthens further and drives the dollar higher along with a tightening financial environment, Bitcoin's rebound momentum may struggle to sustain; however, if related statements fade into political noise, the crypto market may refocus on capital flows, leverage conditions, and key technical levels.

According to Cointelegraph, despite ETH's cumulative decline of about 20% and briefly falling below the psychological level of $2,000, on-chain data and derivatives structure indicate that the market is brewing a potential rebound.On-chain data shows that over 2.5 million ETH flowed into long-term holding addresses in February, with the holdings of related addresses increasing from 22 million to 26.7 million since 2026. At the same time, approximately 37.22 million ETH (accounting for over 30% of the circulating supply) is currently staked, leading to a continuous contraction of the circulating supply. The network's fundamentals have also significantly improved, with weekly transaction numbers reaching a historical high of 17.3 million, and the median Gas fee dropping to $0.008, a decrease of about 3,000 times from the peak in 2021.On the technical side, ETH's 4-hour chart may be forming an "Adam and Eve bottom" reversal pattern. If the price effectively breaks through the neckline at $2,150, the theoretical target range points to $2,473--$2,634. If it loses the recent high-low structure, $1,909 will be a key short-term liquidity level.In terms of derivatives, the open interest in ETH has decreased to $11.2 billion, significantly down from the cycle high of $30 billion in August 2025, but the estimated leverage ratio remains at a relatively high level of 0.7. Data shows that approximately 73% of accounts are in a long position; the liquidation heatmap indicates that there is over $2 billion in short liquidation pressure above $2,200, while the liquidation scale for long positions around $1,800 is about $1 billion, with a relatively higher risk of short squeezes above.Analysts believe that if ETH can achieve an effective breakout above $2,150, it may open up upward space in the short term, targeting the $2,500 level.

According to a report by Cointelegraph, Santiment's latest report shows that the Memecoin market is currently exhibiting "classic capitulation signals." Despite the overall volatile trend in the cryptocurrency market, the sector may be approaching a temporary bottom.Data shows that the total market capitalization of Memecoins has dropped by about 34% over the past 30 days, falling to $31.02 billion. During the same period, Dogecoin fell by 32%. Santiment points out that there is currently a rising "nostalgic" sentiment towards Memecoins on social media, with many traders generally accepting the narrative of the "end of the meme era," and this consistent pessimism is often a typical market capitulation signal.The report states that when a sector is "completely sentenced to death" by the market, it is often the point of contrarian attention, as "maximum pain often corresponds to a temporary bottom." Additionally, Santiment notes that bearish comments on crypto social media significantly outnumber bullish comments. Historical experience shows that the market usually moves in the opposite direction of public expectations. Even if prices rebound, doubts remain in the market, which may instead favor a more sustained recovery trend.Santiment emphasizes that as Bitcoin becomes more institutionalized, the traditional path of "Bitcoin hitting new highs → Ethereum catching up → altcoin season rotating comprehensively" may no longer be fully applicable. In the future, altcoin trends may become more differentiated rather than simply "a rising tide lifts all boats."

According to Bloomberg, Coinbase's stock price rebounded the day after the release of its weak quarterly earnings report. Some bottom-fishing funds believe that the market has already fully priced in the negative factors, and the crypto market may be approaching a temporary bottom.The earnings report shows that the company's trading volume has weakened and trading revenue is under pressure, highlighting its performance's high sensitivity to fluctuations in digital asset prices and retail trading activity. Previously, affected by the overall weakening sentiment in the crypto market, Coinbase's stock price had fallen for several consecutive weeks and had significantly corrected before the earnings report was released. Market analysts believe that, with expectations having been downgraded and positions becoming more defensive, some investors chose to buy on dips, driving the stock price to stabilize and rebound in the short term.

According to GMGN monitoring, the market capitalization of the Base ecosystem Meme coin AntiHunter surged by 35% within 1 hour, currently reported at 8 million USD, with a 24-hour trading volume of 3.4 million USD and a 6-hour increase of 26%.ChainCatcher reminds users that Meme coin trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and conceptual speculation, with no actual value or use case. Investors should be aware of the risks.

Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its target price for Ethereum by the end of 2026 from $7,500 to $4,000, expecting the price of Ethereum to drop to around $1,400 before rebounding later this year.

According to Bloomberg, Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its Bitcoin price forecast for the second consecutive time, reducing the target price from $150,000 to $100,000, a decrease of 33%. In a report released on Thursday, the bank warned that the price of Bitcoin could drop to $50,000 before rebounding.It is worth noting that this is the second time Standard Chartered Bank has lowered its Bitcoin forecast within three months. Last December, the bank had already reduced its original target price from $300,000 to $150,000.

According to GMGN monitoring, the Meme coin WhiteWhale on the Solana chain has rebounded after its market cap fell to a low of about $52 million yesterday, with the current market cap reported at $88 million. The current price is approximately $0.0927, with a 24-hour increase of 42% and a trading volume of $3.5 million during the same period.Trader The White Whale currently holds a position valued at about $500 million, with a holding ratio of 57.6%. The current floating profit is approximately $900,000 (21%), and the total profit reaches $202 million.ChainCatcher reminds users that Meme coin trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and conceptual speculation, with no actual value or use case. Investors should be aware of the risks.

QCP's analysis states that Bitcoin and Ethereum have rebounded from last week's lows, with the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) recording a net inflow of $145 million yesterday, continuing the momentum of last Friday's $371 million inflow, indicating that institutional demand is cautiously returning. The spot Ethereum ETF also reversed its downward trend, recording a net inflow of $57 million yesterday after three consecutive days of net outflows. Meanwhile, Tom Lee's BitMine continues to increase its holdings in Ethereum, stabilizing market confidence in Ethereum.On the macro front, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran seem to have eased, while lower-than-expected employment data has led traders to anticipate a possible interest rate cut in March. The cryptocurrency fear and greed index remains in the extreme fear zone at 9, indicating that market sentiment is still fragile.

The cryptocurrency market observation agency Santiment posted on X that Bitcoin has rebounded from last weekend's plunge to $60,000. According to social media data analysis, the proportion of bearish sentiment in the market remains high compared to bullish sentiment.Due to the generally pessimistic outlook among retail investors, data indicates that ordinary investors are still hesitant to buy at the current price levels, while key BTC large holders can accumulate positions with almost no resistance.Historically, when market panic is high, the probability of price rebounds tends to significantly increase.

According to SoSoValue data, the cryptocurrency market has seen a slight rebound after continuous declines, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising 0.45% in the last 24 hours, fluctuating around the $70,000 mark. Ethereum (ETH) increased by 3.15%, breaking through the $2,100 level. Meanwhile, the GameFi sector performed relatively well, rising by 2.24%. Within this sector, Axie Infinity (AXS) surged by 16.31%, and The Sandbox (SAND) rose by 1.85%.In other sectors, the PayFi sector increased by 2.10% in the last 24 hours, with Monero (XMR) rising by 6.22% and XRP (XRP) increasing by 2.06%; the Meme sector rose by 1.18%, with MemeCore (M) up by 11.41%; the Layer1 sector increased by 0.89%, with Solana (SOL) rising by 1.58%; the CeFi sector rose by 0.84%, with NEXO (NEXO) increasing by 3.47%; the Layer2 sector increased by 0.37%, with zkSync (ZK) rising by 5.28%; and the DeFi sector rose by 0.03%, with River (RIVER) increasing by 7.79%.The cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical market trends show that the ssiRWA, ssiGameFi, and ssiDePIN indices rose by 4.42%, 4.24%, and 1.60%, respectively.

According to Jin Ten, Asian stock markets are set to welcome new highs on Tuesday, following a further rebound in U.S. tech stocks after an AI-driven plunge. Futures for stock indices in Japan, Australia, and Hong Kong all indicate an increase, expected to drive the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index to continue its ascent after reaching a record high on Monday. Sameer Samana from Wells Fargo Investment Institute stated that the market often experiences an instinctive rebound after being sold off in certain tech sectors.

Glassnode posted on platform X that Bitcoin has rebounded to $69,000 after experiencing a sharp downward revaluation. The overall market positioning remains defensive—spot, derivatives, and on-chain indicators all show caution, and whether the rebound can be sustained depends on whether spot demand can recover.Off-chain signals are stabilizing, but market confidence remains insufficient. Spot and ETF indicators are recovering from low levels, while futures and options positions remain defensive, indicating that participants are cautious and risk appetite remains weak. On-chain signals are mixed; although the underlying network activity fundamentals have improved, capital flows and profit-loss conditions continue to weaken, showing that even with improved network participation, market demand remains soft and profit margins are limited. When Bitcoin's price was at $70,000, the unrealized losses in the market accounted for about 16% of the total market capitalization. The current market pain resembles the market structure observed in early May 2022.

According to charts and analysis released by Matrixport, Bitcoin is attempting to stage a counter-trend rebound after experiencing a capitulation-style sell-off. This round of decline has washed out weak positions and triggered passive selling pressure and chain liquidations in the derivatives market.In the short term, there is still some upward space from a technical perspective, but whether the rebound can be sustained largely depends on whether there is new capital to take over, rather than relying solely on short covering and systematic hedging funds. Matrixport points out that Bitcoin is still in a larger bear market reset phase, where rapid rebounds are not uncommon but often difficult to maintain. On-chain data also indicates that the current environment remains weak, with insufficient demand momentum and limited structural accumulation. Meanwhile, hedging activities in the options market are heating up, which may further amplify price volatility. If spot demand is insufficient, Bitcoin's price is more likely to experience a rapid decline, and the impact of derivatives on price will also increase.

Matrixport's analysis states that after a round of capitulation selling, Bitcoin is attempting to stage a counter-trend rebound. This round of decline has washed out weak positions and triggered passive selling pressure and chain liquidations in the derivatives market. In the short term, there is still room for a technical rebound; however, whether the rebound can extend further depends on whether there is new capital to take over, rather than relying solely on short covering and systematic hedging funds to sustain it.As previously mentioned, Bitcoin is still in a larger bear market reset phase. During this phase, rapid surges are not uncommon, but they often struggle to sustain. On-chain data continues to confirm that the current environment remains relatively weak: demand momentum is weakening, and structural accumulation is limited. Meanwhile, hedging activities in the options market are heating up, further amplifying volatility. If spot demand remains weak, prices are more likely to experience gap-down movements, and the impact of derivatives on Bitcoin prices will also increase.

According to HyperInsight monitoring, the whale "pension-usdt.eth" ignored the bullish rise of the U.S. stock market at the opening and increased its short position in ETH against the trend during the rebound. As of the time of writing, its 3x Ethereum short position has risen to $53.73 million, with a holding amount of 27,104 ETH.

According to Gate market data, the three major U.S. stock indices all rose over 1%, with technology stocks collectively rebounding. Oracle rose over 3%, Tesla rose 2%, and both Microsoft and Apple rose over 1%.