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BTC $77,670.41 +1.51%
ETH $2,134.46 +1.72%
BNB $666.88 +1.77%
XRP $1.36 +0.94%
SOL $86.20 +0.75%
TRX $0.3728 +2.07%
DOGE $0.1034 +1.35%
ADA $0.2471 +1.91%
BCH $349.47 -0.22%
LINK $9.64 +2.11%
HYPE $62.29 -1.60%
AAVE $86.88 +1.24%
SUI $1.05 +1.52%
XLM $0.1508 +2.76%
ZEC $672.21 +1.94%

rebound

Viewpoint: The current market trend is different from previous bear market rebounds; Bitcoin at $60,000 may already be the bottom of this cycle

According to The Block, crypto research firm K33 stated that despite Bitcoin's decline of about 6% after retesting the 200-day moving average of approximately $82,000 this month, the low of about $60,000 in February this year may still represent the largest pullback of this cycle.K33's research director Vetle Lunde pointed out that unlike the bear market rebounds in 2014, 2018, and 2022, this market has experienced a slow recovery lasting 189 days after breaking below the 200-day moving average, and market leverage and risk appetite have not been quickly rebuilt. Therefore, the current trend resembles a mild adjustment rather than a precursor to a new round of deep declines.K33 also noted that institutional capital flows still reflect a defensive sentiment. The latest 13F data shows that institutional investors collectively reduced their holdings by about 26,733 BTC in the first quarter, while retail investors increased their holdings by about 19,395 BTC; among them, neutral strategy firms like Jane Street and Millennium contributed most of the reduction.Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recently recorded the ninth largest five-day outflow since the launch of the U.S. spot ETF. K33 believes this typically occurs when BTC approaches the ETF cost basis, reflecting that investors tend to stop losses or reduce risk exposure after experiencing a deep pullback.

Data: The net purchase of BTC by listed companies in a single week has strongly rebounded to 2.03 billion USD, an increase of over 44 times compared to last week

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on May 18, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $2.03 billion, an increase of 4,403.11% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) announced an investment of $2.01 billion (an increase of 4,574.4% compared to last week) to purchase 24,869 Bitcoins at a price of $80,985, bringing the total holdings to 843,738 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week.In addition, four other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Asset management company Strive announced on May 12 that it bought 9 Bitcoins, without disclosing the specific amount spent, bringing its total holdings to 15,009 Bitcoins; the UK Bitcoin company The Smarter Web Company announced on May 12 and May 15 that it invested $2.84 million to purchase 25 Bitcoins at a price of $81,592.67 and 10 Bitcoins at a price of $79,662, bringing its total holdings to 2,840 Bitcoins; the French Bitcoin company Capital B announced on May 18 that it invested $15.02 million to purchase 192 Bitcoins at a price of $78,205.4, bringing its total holdings to 3,135 Bitcoins; the Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on May 18 that it invested $390,900 to purchase 5 Bitcoins at a price of $78,180, bringing its total holdings to 3,737 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the listed companies worldwide (excluding mining companies) is 1,113,841 Bitcoins, an increase of 2.37% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $86.16 billion, accounting for 5.6% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

Analysis: The rebound in inflation suppresses interest rate cut expectations, leading to temporary pressure on Bitcoin

According to BIT analysis, if Bitcoin could keep up with the Nasdaq's rise, the current price should be close to $140,000. The relative underperformance of Bitcoin may be related to the resurgence of inflation since the third quarter of 2025. Overall, Bitcoin had generally followed the fluctuations of the Nasdaq, but since October 2025, the divergence between the two has begun to widen significantly. At that time, the latest CPI reading had risen back to 3%, which is 100 basis points above the Federal Reserve's target, and the interest rate market also began to gradually retract some pricing for rate cuts in 2026. This is precisely the source of the pressure on Bitcoin; its upward logic relies on expectations of Federal Reserve easing, and once the market starts to retract pricing for rate cuts, performance often comes under pressure. Subsequently, this logic continued to influence Bitcoin's trend.Stocks, on the other hand, are completely different. As long as the market still views inflation as mild and temporary, a rise in inflation can actually be beneficial for stocks: even if sales do not increase significantly, it can boost nominal corporate income, reduce real debt burdens, and enhance the attractiveness of stocks as a hedge against purchasing power. The latest U.S. inflation data seems to have caught some market participants off guard, although the agency's model had previously indicated that price pressures might rise again. The current key question is whether this round of inflation expectation repricing will weaken the ongoing positive fundamentals for Bitcoin; and how investors should adjust their positions in this context.

Gate Research Institute: The cryptocurrency market rebounded in April, with RWA and on-chain capital flow becoming the focus

The Gate Research Institute recently released the "April 2026 Cryptocurrency Market Review" report, which pointed out that the cryptocurrency market in April showed an overall upward trend, with total market capitalization significantly rising compared to March. The trading volume of BTC and ETH ETFs remained high and volatile. The report indicates that the activity levels of major public chain ecosystems continue to diverge. Solana's daily trading volume remained in the range of approximately 90 million to 110 million transactions, continuing to lead.In terms of hot sectors, the report noted that Pokemon TCG RWA has become one of the fastest-growing sub-sectors of on-chain RWA and entered a secondary explosion phase in April. Major trading platforms saw monthly trading volumes exceed 220 million USD, with weekly revenue nearing 6 million USD at one point, setting a new historical high. Meanwhile, Aave experienced the most severe liquidity shock in its history in April, with TVL outflows reaching hundreds of billions of dollars within days, and net outflows for the month exceeding 9 billion USD.Regarding financing and security incidents, the Web3 industry completed a total of 51 financing rounds in April, with a total amount of approximately 834 million USD, with funds further concentrating in leading finance and infrastructure sectors. Among them, Payward topped the monthly financing with 200 million USD. On the security front, Web3 security incidents in April resulted in losses of approximately 306 million USD, a month-on-month increase of about 858%, primarily driven by a single cross-chain infrastructure attack incident involving Kelp DAO, which amounted to about 293 million USD. The report believes that against the backdrop of a market recovery, on-chain activity and capital liquidity are improving simultaneously, but the security risks of cross-chain infrastructure and high-leverage protocols still warrant ongoing attention.

Gate Research Institute: The cryptocurrency market rebounded in April, with RWA and on-chain capital flow becoming the focus

The Gate Research Institute recently released the report "April 2026 Cryptocurrency Market Review," indicating that the cryptocurrency market in April showed an overall upward trend, with total market capitalization significantly higher than in March, and BTC and ETH ETF trading volumes maintaining high volatility. The report shows that the activity levels of major public chain ecosystems continue to diverge. Solana's daily trading volume remains in the range of approximately 90 million to 110 million transactions, continuing to lead.In terms of hot sectors, the report points out that Pokemon TCG RWA has become one of the fastest-growing sub-sectors of on-chain RWA and entered a secondary explosion phase in April. Major trading platforms saw monthly trading volumes exceed 220 million USD, with weekly revenue nearing 6 million USD at one point, setting a new historical high. Meanwhile, Aave experienced the most severe liquidity shock in its history in April, with TVL outflows reaching hundreds of billions of dollars within a few days, and net outflows for the entire month exceeding 9 billion USD.Regarding financing and security incidents, the Web3 industry completed a total of 51 financing rounds in April, with a total amount of approximately 834 million USD, with funds further concentrating in leading finance and infrastructure sectors. Among them, Payward ranked first for the month with 200 million USD in financing.On the security front, Web3 security incidents in April resulted in losses of approximately 306 million USD, a month-on-month increase of about 858%, primarily driven by a cross-chain infrastructure attack incident involving Kelp DAO, which amounted to about 293 million USD. The report believes that against the backdrop of market recovery, on-chain activity and capital liquidity have both increased, but the security risks of cross-chain infrastructure and high-leverage protocols still warrant ongoing attention.
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