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selling

Analysis: Over the past 30 days, more than 100,000 BTC flowed into trading platforms while stablecoins accelerated outflow, increasing market selling pressure

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the inflow of BTC to trading platforms and the outflow of stablecoins from trading platforms simultaneously release a "risk aversion" signal, indicating that selling pressure in the market is increasing. Data shows that the net inflow of BTC to trading platforms over the past 30 days has shifted from an extreme net outflow of 300,000 BTC at the end of March to an inflow of 103,000 BTC, meaning more BTC is being reintroduced to trading platforms in preparation for sale. During the same period, the price of BTC dropped from $80,000 to $73,700.Meanwhile, stablecoins are flowing out of centralized trading platforms at a record pace. The average net flow of stablecoins over the past 30 days has shifted from an inflow of $164 million per day at the end of April to an outflow of $153 million per day. This indicates that the liquidity available for purchasing BTC in the market is decreasing. Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that when BTC flows into exchanges while stablecoins simultaneously flow out of trading platforms, it creates an unfavorable structure of "increased supply and decreased demand," which is a typical risk aversion market condition.He believes that if the net inflow of BTC continues to exceed +100,000 BTC, the market may face a deeper correction; while stable signals would include BTC turning back to a net outflow or stablecoins flowing back into trading platforms.

Bitcoin has entered a high-risk zone, and the continuous withdrawal of institutional funds highlights concerns about selling pressure

The latest report from the blockchain analysis platform Swissblock shows that Bitcoin is gradually slipping into a high-risk environment, primarily due to continuous selling by institutional funds, especially driven by net outflows from the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF. Historical data indicates that whenever this index signals selling pressure overwhelming the market at a structural level, it often corresponds to systematic distribution behavior by institutional funds.On-chain data analysis firm Glassnode also pointed out that since May 7, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has shown net outflows almost every trading day, with institutional selling signals persisting for over two weeks. "Such continuous capital outflows are exerting pressure on the supply side of the market, while currently, there has not been sufficient buying demand to hedge against this," further exacerbating the risk of supply-demand imbalance.In the market, Bitcoin faced short-term pressure on Tuesday due to geopolitical disturbances. Reports indicated that the U.S. is implementing a new round of military strikes against Iran, despite recent progress on a peace agreement between the two sides. Bitcoin's price fell by about 1%, briefly dipping from above $77,000 to around $76,500, but overall it still maintained a range-bound pattern for nearly four months.CoinEx Chief Analyst Jeff Ko stated that although geopolitical events may trigger short-term volatility, the market focus may still lean towards potential reconciliation progress between the U.S. and Iran, with the overall cryptocurrency market "still in a wait-and-see state." In summary, the current Bitcoin market faces dual pressures: on one hand, the continuous outflow of spot ETF funds has weakened key buying support; on the other hand, geopolitical uncertainty has amplified short-term volatility risks. If institutional risk appetite does not improve marginally, the risk index may rise further, necessitating caution against the adjustment pressure brought by technical selling and emotional resonance.

Analysis: The net inflow to trading platforms and the outflow of ETFs have created a potential selling pressure of 34,000 BTC. Bitcoin still needs spot buying support if it is to challenge the $80,000 mark

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that although BTC recently regained the $77,000 level, the net inflow to trading platforms and the continuous outflow from spot ETFs still exert localized selling pressure on the market. Data shows that in the past week, the net inflow of BTC to exchanges was about 18,000 BTC, indicating that more BTC is being transferred to trading platforms in preparation for selling. At the same time, the net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs during the same period was about 16,000 BTC. The combined data creates a potential selling pressure of approximately 34,000 BTC.Glassnode data also shows that the daily trading volume of spot BTC ETFs has fallen below $20 billion, having once exceeded $50 billion by the end of 2025, reflecting a cooling of speculative demand from traditional financial channels. However, market sentiment has recently warmed due to improved expectations for a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran. BTC quickly rebounded to around $77,800 after dropping below $75,000.Derivatives data indicates that this round of price increase was mainly driven by short covering. The total open interest (OI) of BTC slightly rebounded from about 268,000 BTC to 250,000 BTC, and the funding rate also cooled down, indicating a decrease in the crowding of leveraged long positions. Analysts believe that if BTC wants to further challenge the $80,000 mark, it still needs both spot demand and open interest to grow in sync.
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