verge

According to on-chain data from DeFiLlama, there was a significant divergence in the capital flow of mainstream public chains over the weekend. BNB Chain saw a net inflow of approximately 28.22 million USD in the last 24 hours, indicating that funds are still continuously gathering in the BSC ecosystem; in contrast, Robinhood Chain experienced a net outflow of about 18.04 million USD in the last 24 hours. Earlier data from September 5 showed that Robinhood Chain had a net outflow of approximately 21.07 million USD in a single day, making it the network with the largest capital outflow among major public chains that day.In terms of capital activity, although Robinhood Chain experienced a net outflow, on-chain trading activity remained relatively high. DeFiLlama data shows that its DEX trading volume in the past 7 days was approximately 10.424 billion USD, an increase of 95.26% compared to the previous week, with a DEX trading volume of about 1.368 billion USD in the last 24 hours; BNB Chain's DEX trading volume in the past 7 days was approximately 8.254 billion USD, a weekly increase of 20.99%, with a net inflow of about 28.22 million USD in the last 24 hours.Meanwhile, data from September 6 indicated that Solana's DEX trading volume in the past 24 hours was approximately 1.96 billion USD, surpassing BNB Chain's 1.64 billion USD and Robinhood Chain's 1.61 billion USD, reclaiming the top spot in DEX trading volume among mainstream public chains. Overall, the past weekend showed characteristics of "high trading activity maintained, with a rebalancing of capital flow" among mainstream public chains: BNB Chain continued to absorb funds against a backdrop of high trading volume, while Robinhood Chain, despite rapid growth in DEX trading volume, experienced continuous net outflows, suggesting that some funds may be leaving the network after high-frequency trading.

Multiple companies listed in the潮玩 IP derivatives sector have disclosed their performance for the first half of 2026. Pop Mart reported a revenue of 17.173 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 5.038 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%. Domestic revenue grew by 47.3%, while overseas revenue decreased by 11.1% to 4.972 billion yuan. Pop Mart's Chairman and CEO Wang Ning referred to 2026 as the "Year of Adjustment," stating that revenue growth is not the primary goal, but rather focusing on corporate governance and operational health.Aofei Entertainment reported a revenue of 1.332 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11.13%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 174 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 370.70%. Its subsidiary, Wandian Infinite, incurred a loss of 19.5413 million yuan in the first half of the year. Yuanlong Yatu reported a revenue of 1.164 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.35%, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 3.6779 million yuan. The revenue from its IP cultural and creative business was 46.418 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134.48%. Shifeng Culture reported a revenue of 212 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.83%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.0852 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.09%. The revenue from trendy toys was 25.9369 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 222.85%.

The Solana core client development team Anza announced that it is gradually removing floating-point operations from the Solana core protocol. The first layer, SIMD-0391, was activated in epoch 1026 of the mainnet Beta, replacing floating-point operations in the Stake Program and validator client’s warm-up and cool-down logic with fixed-point operations.The second layer, SIMD-0607, has been proposed and is under review, targeting the runtime itself to remove floating-point operations in the inflation rewards and rent calculation paths. Anza stated that floating-point operations can produce different rounding results on different hardware, validator clients, and compilers, which may lead to consensus divergence and network activity risks. These two improvements eliminate that risk by standardizing fixed-point operations. Further work will continue to address floating-point operations in other paths.

Rekt Capital posted on platform X that the stage lows of Bitcoin in February and June 2026 are in roughly the same price range, and the RSI is also at nearly the same oversold level. After both bottoms, Bitcoin rebounded to around $80,000.Compared to the peak in May 2026, when Bitcoin rises again to around $80,000, the overbought level of the RSI is significantly higher, but the price has formed lower highs. The RSI forming higher highs while the price forms lower highs indicates a hidden bearish divergence at the important resistance level of around $80,000 on the daily chart of Bitcoin. As long as the price of Bitcoin fails to break through and form a new higher high, this hidden bearish divergence will continue to exist.

Tim Duy, Chief U.S. Economist at SGH Macro Advisors, stated that it has become common for several Federal Reserve officials to cast dissenting votes on interest rate decisions recently. Duy believes that the core concern for the market is how widespread the officials' worries about inflation are, especially when inflation is above target levels.The labor market is stabilizing, and some officials believe that interest rate hikes are necessary to curb inflation. The market will focus on the consensus within the Federal Reserve regarding concerns about inflation and the degree of policy divergence.

Despite the rare coordination between the United States and Japan in promoting the strengthening of the yen, U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen and Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Sanae's fundamental disagreements regarding the Bank of Japan may undermine their efforts. Yellen believes that tightening monetary policy is crucial to addressing the yen's weakness, while Kishi is cautious about raising interest rates, fearing it may impact economic recovery. The Bank of Japan's benchmark interest rate remains at 1%.

Cryptocurrency analyst Amr Taha pointed out that the dynamics of the Bitcoin holder community have recently shown a clear divergence, with large whales continuously accumulating, while medium-sized wallets are selling off at an increasingly rapid pace. Specifically, wallets holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC have seen a net increase of approximately 66,700 BTC over the past 60 days, nearing the level of 68,000 BTC reached on June 16.In contrast, wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have a net sell-off of about 77,800 BTC, marking one of the most aggressive selling periods in the current data. Historical data shows that the behavior of wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC aligns with significant short-term market turning points. On April 25, this group had a net increase of over 92,000 BTC. About 10 days later, Bitcoin entered a short-term correction, ultimately declining by approximately -29%. Amr Taha believes that the continued accumulation by large holders will reduce the immediately available supply, especially during periods when smaller groups are actively distributing Bitcoin. While group data alone cannot determine future price trends, the current shift in supply towards large wallets may signal positive indications for Bitcoin in the medium term.

ARK Invest released the Q2 2026 Bitcoin report stating that Bitcoin fell by about 14% in the second quarter, dropping below the realized price for short-term holders, the 200-day moving average, and the on-chain average, with the technical outlook remaining bearish. However, the proportion of loss supply rose to about 54%, and the supply of long-term holders increased to a historical high of about 14.85 million BTC, which ARK views as a potential signal of seller exhaustion.The report also pointed out that Bitcoin has not yet fallen back to the on-chain cost range of about $49,000 to $53,000, and the downside risk has not been fully released; the net outflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF in Q2 was about 71,000 BTC, and the preferred stock of Strategy, STRC, fell to a minimum of $74.57.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a live broadcast today at 20:30 on the theme "The First Major Test of AI Chip Faith: SK Hynix ADR Three-Day Tour, From a Surge of 13% to a Circuit Breaker in Korean Stocks."At that time, crypto KOLs such as MEJ, 77, the Sincere Little Taoist, and Qiwen will be invited to attend, discussing the severe fluctuations in the stock price of SK Hynix ADR after its listing, whether the high valuation logic of the AI chip sector will face its first pressure test, and exploring future investment opportunities in the AI computing power industry chain. They will also analyze the next stage of trading themes in the AI narrative in conjunction with global tech stock trends and the rotation of funds in the crypto market for investors.

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a giant whale (0x50b...9f20) previously shorted 54,200 ETH, with an opening price of $1541.3 and a liquidation price of $1674.4. The current ETH price has risen to $1646.2, and this position is only $28 away from the liquidation price.

In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency derivatives market experienced massive liquidations, with a total liquidation amount of approximately $1 billion, and Ethereum's liquidation amount exceeded that of Bitcoin. At the same time, Bitcoin contract open interest rose for the second consecutive day to 778,000 BTC, with a sharp increase in open interest at the end of Thursday indicating that Bitcoin traders are adding short positions in a downtrend. In contrast, Ethereum contract open interest has remained stable at around 14 million ETH since June 15, and Ethereum traders have not actively shorted during the decline.The 24-hour cumulative trading volume difference adjusted for open interest shows that short positions continue to dominate among the top 25 cryptocurrencies, with only BNB, SOL, and TON as exceptions. Meanwhile, the 30-day annualized implied volatility index for Bitcoin surged to 53%, the highest since June 7; the volatility index for Ethereum rose to 66%. In the cryptocurrency options market, last week the skew for Bitcoin options approached 30%, with significant premiums for put options. In large trades, put options with a strike price of $53,000 expiring on July 10 have appeared, reflecting strong demand for downside hedging.

CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk stated that the data shows that Binance's Bitcoin perpetual contract funding rate is about 370 basis points lower than the median of three exchanges, sitting at approximately 2.8%, which is a low range since 2021, indicating that the bearish pricing in the Binance market is significantly strong.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin fell to a nearly two-month low on Tuesday, as the divergence between cryptocurrencies and traditional stock markets continued to deepen. Bitcoin briefly dropped to $70,023 on Coinbase, the lowest level since April 7, with a daily decline of over 4% and a weekly decline of 8%, down 44% from the October peak of $126,000.Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index set a new historical high of over 7,600 points on Monday, and the Nasdaq index peaked above 27,000 points. Andri Fauzan Adziima, head of research at Bitrue, stated that Bitcoin is currently the only major asset in a downtrend, and this divergence is worth noting, indicating that Bitcoin resembles a high-beta risk asset linked to macro sentiment rather than an independent hedging tool.Santiment noted that the gap between traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies has become hard to ignore, leading investors to increasingly prefer stocks over Bitcoin and altcoins, with capital often rotating from crypto to the stock market. However, Santiment pointed out that this pattern will not last forever; when mainstream influencers begin discussing the dominance of stocks, it usually indicates that market sentiment is overly biased towards stocks, and market trends often move contrary to the expectations of most traders.