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The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 2 AM Beijing time on the 29th. The market generally expects the federal funds rate target range to remain unchanged at 3.75%--4.00%, with a probability of maintaining the status quo at over 90%. The wording of the statement and whether Chair Waller's press conference will release more hawkish signals, as well as how this will affect the market's significantly priced probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in December, have become the focus of attention.Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Credit Agricole all expect a pause in October and a 25 basis point hike in December. Goldman Sachs stated that if rate hikes continue every other meeting through 2027, a hike in March may be considered, but the baseline forecast does not expect a hike in March. Citigroup mentioned that if the stock market continues to weaken, leading to a sharp tightening of financial conditions, the likelihood of a shift to rate cuts will significantly increase. Moody's believes there will not and should not be another rate hike this week. Nomura Securities expects no change in October and stated that while the Federal Reserve guides expectations for a pause, it retains flexibility for a rate hike in December.TD Securities expects no change in October and anticipates two more hikes in December and March. Huatai Securities expects no change in October, with two hawkish voters possibly casting dissenting votes, with the baseline scenario being one rate hike in December this year and two hikes next year. Morgan Stanley expects a 25 basis point hike in both December and March next year. Bank of New York Mellon expects rates to peak slightly above 4.5%. Bank of America believes there is ample reason to raise rates in October; if they remain unchanged, they will only retain one option for a future hike.

According to the Aster page, the Predict.fun token PREDICT is now available for inquiry in the trading list, supporting up to 5 times leverage. Related trading is expected to officially launch tonight at 8 PM.

Slow Fog Security Warning states that PHP released a security announcement on October 20, disclosing two serious security vulnerabilities that could lead to remote code execution (RCE), numbered CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619, both with a CVSS v4 score of 9.2. Currently, the PHP official has not released a fix patch, and the specific affected versions and exploitation conditions are yet to be confirmed.According to existing information, the PHP official plans to release a security update on October 21 at 14:00 UTC (22:00 Beijing time). Slow Fog recommends that relevant institutions promptly check the PHP versions in their servers and business systems, focusing on PHP services exposed to the public network, and upgrade in a timely manner after the patch is released; systems that cannot be upgraded temporarily should restrict access sources and take isolation measures if necessary.

According to the Ethereum Foundation's announcement on October 16, the Glamsterdam upgrade is scheduled to activate on October 26 at 17:42:48 (UTC), which is 01:42:48 on October 27 Beijing time, on the Hoodi testnet; at that time, the block Gas limit on Hoodi will also be increased to 200 million.This upgrade includes the embedded proposer and builder separation, block-level access lists, and Gas billing adjustments. The Sepolia testnet was activated on October 6, and the upgrade date for the Ethereum mainnet has not yet been determined. Node operators need to update the execution layer and consensus layer clients before the Hoodi activation.

Ledger CEO Pascal Gauthier responded to former Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpelès' warning about the security risks of hardware implants, questioning his stance and stating that Ledger has always done its utmost to protect users.Pascal Gauthier stated that the relevant security work is extremely challenging, acknowledged Karpelès' concerns on the matter, but urged him to speak based on known facts and avoid speculation, while also sarcastically saying, "Come on, you're not some white knight, be realistic."Previously, Mark Karpelès accused Ledger of potentially avoiding over $90 million in losses if they had disclosed related issues more timely and effectively, rather than just publishing a discreet article on Ledger Academy. He also questioned why Ledger had not maintained sufficient vigilance regarding the mass production of advanced implant devices.

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September PPI (Producer Price Index). Current market expectations are for an overall PPI month-on-month increase of +0.5% and a core PPI month-on-month increase of +0.3%.If the data exceeds expectations, it will boost the market's pricing for continued interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, putting pressure on U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, and other risk assets; if it falls below expectations, it will cool tightening expectations, benefiting the performance of risk assets. Previous CPI data has already shown inflation resilience, and this PPI will further validate the persistence of inflation.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a debate themed "Should Stablecoins Pay Interest?" today at 20:00 (UTC+8). At that time, Cong Ge and George, as the affirmative representatives, will engage in dialogue with the negative representatives Mo Cheng and Wang Fugui. Both sides will clash on core topics such as the functional positioning of stablecoins, income distribution mechanisms, potential risks, and industry development, exploring the potential impact of stablecoin interest payment mechanisms on user rights, market competition, and the development of the stablecoin ecosystem.Reserve the live broadcast: https://www.htx.net.in/zh-cn/live/detail/h5?id=121522&invite_code=gui6e223&inviter_id=11351630

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September CPI data tonight at 20:30. The agency expects the overall CPI year-on-year increase to rise from 3.4% in August to 3.6%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.6%, marking the largest increase in nearly five months, mainly driven by a rebound in energy prices. The core CPI is expected to increase by 2.5% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, lower than the previous value of 0.3%.This CPI report is the last inflation report before the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on October 27-28. CME data shows that the market currently expects a 17% probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October. If the core CPI month-on-month increase reaches 0.3%, it may reinforce expectations for a rate hike this month; if it meets the expectation of 0.2%, the Federal Reserve may pause action and delay the rate hike decision until December. In addition, the U.S. will release PPI data on Thursday, and both CPI and PPI will affect the market's judgment on future inflation trends and the Federal Reserve's policy path.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "Market Betting on December Rate Hike: Can BTC Withstand This Round of Impact?" At that time, crypto KOLs such as Sister Mao, AlanSun, Aiden, and Crypto.0824 will engage in an in-depth discussion on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations, changes in macro liquidity, and recent market trends of BTC. The focus will be on analyzing the potential impact of the rising expectations for a rate hike in December on the crypto market, as well as BTC's key support levels, long and short positions under macro pressure, and the subsequent evolution of market trends, providing investors with multi-dimensional references for market trend analysis.

On the evening of October 6, HTX DAO's "Night of the Future" was held in Singapore. HTX DAO core supporter Sun Yuchen stated via video that the cryptocurrency industry is deepening its connection with traditional finance, promoting the continuous digitization of global financial infrastructure; AI is changing the way wealth is created, while Crypto and digital finance are altering the ways wealth is held and flows.Sun Yuchen pointed out that stablecoins are expected to play a more important role in global payments and settlements, and the on-chain applications of traditional assets such as bonds, funds, and gold will continue to be explored. After AI Agents enter economic activities, there will be further demand for identity, accounts, and independent trading capabilities. He emphasized that the long-term value of technology lies in its transformation into real productivity, and "the free flow of value in the digital world" is the trend he is most concerned about for the next decade, hoping that blockchain will enhance the accessibility, convenience, and efficiency of financial services.This event further strengthened the communication between HTX DAO and global communities and industry builders. HTX Ventures will appear at TOKEN2049 from October 7 to 8, with a booth located at PB5-47&48. From October 6 to 8, HTX DAO will also host several invitation-only events such as reunions and VIP private dinners.

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the non-farm payroll report for September.Market consensus expects that 84,000 new jobs were added in September, the unemployment rate remains at 4.1%, and the average hourly wage year-on-year is 3.1%; the previous value for August was an increase of 162,000 jobs. The market is particularly focused on the extent of the decline in new jobs, wage growth, and whether the August data will be revised down.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a themed live broadcast titled "PCE Revealed Tonight: Bull Market Rotation or Final Frenzy?" on September 30 at 20:00 (UTC+8). At that time, crypto KOLs 0xPink, Xiao Hai, HiSeven, and Xiao Zhi will discuss the continuously rising U.S. Treasury yields and the strong performance of altcoin markets, along with the upcoming August PCE data, to forecast the future trends of Bitcoin and altcoins.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 1.5 Rounds" for the event "UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli" on the Polymarket has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 24.5% an hour ago to the current 44.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.