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BTC $70,920.85 +2.82%
ETH $2,165.66 +2.84%
BNB $645.91 +2.93%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $476.25 +0.85%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9596 +3.27%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

buyer

Analysis: BTC faith buyers' positions have reached a new record high for this cycle, and the bottom of the bear market is no longer far away

Cryptanalysis expert Murphy stated that analyzing on-chain data from both spatial and temporal dimensions, the current distance to the "bear bottom" is no longer far off. In terms of space, taking the previous cycle as an example, in June 2022, BTC dropped to a low of $17,000, which is not far from the ultimate absolute bottom price of $15,000, indicating that it is already in the "bear bottom" range spatially. However, it took a full 7 months to truly emerge from and complete the bottom reconstruction.Currently, the "space" is getting closer to the bear bottom, but there is still a considerable distance in terms of "time." It is crucial to observe the behavior of conviction-driven buyers (Conviction Buyers, hereinafter referred to as CB), who, as the smartest diamond hands in this market, often buy during declines and sell after increases. In other words, rather than saying they frequently buy at the bottom, it is more accurate to say that the bottom is often constructed by this group of buyers. As of February, conviction buyers have accumulated a holding of 3.48 million BTC, setting a new record for this cycle. Since January of this year, they have significantly increased their holdings by 1.22 million BTC, a figure that far exceeds the previous cycle's events during the 5.19 incident, LUNA crash, and FTX collapse. Moreover, the current BTC price is higher than the aforementioned time points, indicating that "smart decision-makers" are investing more funds at this time.Although the final bottom position is difficult to predict, for the CB group, they do not hope to go all-in at the lowest point; as long as there is sufficient cost-effectiveness, they will continue to buy until all excess supply is absorbed. When a balance is achieved on both the supply and demand sides, it forms the bottom range of the bear market, after which, through months of consensus reconstruction, a new trend will emerge. From historical data, the determination and strength currently exhibited by conviction-driven buyers fully meet the standard of "not far from the bear bottom."

Investment bank Jefferies report: Tether becomes a major new buyer of gold, dominating the recent surge in gold prices

According to Cryptopolitan, investment bank Jefferies stated on Thursday that Tether is a major new buyer of gold and a key reason for the recent surge in gold prices, as traditional factors are no longer the main drivers affecting gold prices. The report reveals that verified data and on-chain activity show that Tether has accumulated a large amount of gold in recent months, tightening gold supply and driving up precious metal prices. Investors have disclosed to Jefferies that Tether plans to purchase about 100 tons of gold this year, and its CEO Paolo Ardoino has publicly stated that the company will increase its gold reserves, expecting gold prices to soar to $1,000 per ounce.According to an analyst team led by Andrew Moss, as of the end of the third quarter, Tether holds about 116 tons of gold. They also revealed that the company has 12 tons of gold backing its XAUt tokens (worth approximately $1.57 billion), and about 104 tons of gold backing its stablecoin USDT (worth approximately $13.67 billion). Jefferies pointed out that Tether continues to ramp up its gold accumulation, having added about 26 tons in just the third quarter, which accounts for about 2% of global gold demand in that quarter. With business expansion, gold is expected to make up about 7% of its reserves. If half of Ardoino's projected $1.5 billion profit for 2025 is invested in gold, nearly 60 tons could be added each year.
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