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Cryptoquant Founder: The peak of this Bitcoin bull market cycle may be driven by global institutional and ETF demand

Cryptoquant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju stated that the peak of the current Bitcoin bull market cycle may be driven by institutional funds and ETF demand outside the United States. He pointed out that deeper stablecoin liquidity and tokenized asset infrastructure will expand global market participation. Using South Korea as an example, Ki Young Ju mentioned that the country currently does not have a spot Bitcoin ETF, retail investors cannot purchase overseas-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs, and most companies are unable to open trading accounts to buy BTC. South Korea has phased in corporate participation, with the Financial Services Commission (FSC) roadmap covering about 3,500 listed companies and qualified professional investors, but financial institutions and other companies are still excluded.Strategy's Bitcoin bank evaluated 25 major institutions covering trading, custody, digital asset products, financing, and corporate participation, with an overall adoption rate of 32%. RWA.xyz data shows that the global tokenized asset distributed asset value is $38.63 billion, an increase of 2.65% compared to 30 days ago. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) stated that stablecoins have the potential to enable faster, programmable payments, but current designs may pose risks to financial integrity, liquidity, and currency. Ki Young Ju pointed out that the cumulative net inflow before the launch of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF was about $57 billion over two years, and the next phase will be global institutionalization, with more institutions adopting BTC as a strategic asset, and countries lacking ETFs will also improve related investment channels.

first_img Analysis: The demand for AI infrastructure is longer than that of the internet, and general programming still drives ARR

Analysis of the AI semiconductor and infrastructure cycle indicates that the demand for AI infrastructure will continue to exceed that of the internet era, as user penetration and per capita token are multiplied and converted into tokens, significantly raising the ceiling. User penetration has surpassed 50%, with growth primarily coming from the still-early per capita token; the median monthly AI spending per employee in U.S. companies is about $12, which could long-term approach around 10% of white-collar salaries, approximately $1,000 per month, leaving nearly two orders of magnitude of space in between. Unlike the flat subscriptions and extremely low marginal hardware consumption of the internet, the high costs of inference make the marginal cost of a single access higher, requiring greater infrastructure intensity.After developers program, the next ARR growth will still mainly come from broad programming: non-programmers use programming infrastructure to complete non-programming tasks across industries, with programming becoming the default execution kernel for agents. Tasks related to broad programming account for about 60% to 70% of ARR. As of June 2026, Codex accounted for 64% of the total output tokens from Codex and ChatGPT among OpenAI's enterprise clients; since February, Codex has seen a much higher weekly growth in verticals such as law, sales recruitment, and marketing compared to engineering. In Anthropic's revenue, narrow development/software accounts for about 40%, while finance and insurance exceed 20%, with law, life sciences, retail, and others also having considerable shares.The demand-side token growth logic remains, with a high overlap between funders and beneficiaries.

first_img Bitcoin's 23% rebound drives a surge in mining company stock prices, outperforming AI stocks

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's rebound in August has driven a surge in the stock prices of some previously underperforming mining companies, reversing the market preference that had shifted towards artificial intelligence and high-performance computing (HPC) mining firms. The latest report from BlocksBridge Consulting shows that Bitcoin's approximately 23% increase over the past week has outperformed most AI-related infrastructure stocks.The stock prices of three mining companies, Canaan, American Bitcoin, and Cango, rose between 41% and 67%, while CoreWeave increased by about 21%, Nebius by 17%, and IREN by 15%. Some mining companies with higher exposure to AI and HPC remained flat or declined. BlocksBridge pointed out that the three main catalysts for Bitcoin's rise include: the U.S. Treasury's announcement on August 19 to at least double the liquidity support for long-term Treasury repurchase agreements; a rise in regulatory optimism following a meeting between the White House and crypto executives, with Trump urging Congress to pass the CLARITY Act; and a short squeeze triggered after Bitcoin's breakout, leading to over $1.6 billion in crypto positions being liquidated within 24 hours.Additionally, BlocksBridge's previous analysis found that publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies' investments in AI data centers are about 15 times their AI-related revenue. From 2026 to date, the AI and HPC revenue of nine listed mining companies has reached $341.2 million, while related capital expenditures have amounted to $5.11 billion.

first_img Apple M6 uses TSMC 2 nanometers, advanced packaging demand drives the Taiwan supply chain

Apple's first 2-nanometer M6 chip officially debuts, equipped with a 12-core CPU, 12-core GPU, and dual 16-core neural network engines, with unified memory bandwidth reaching up to 170GB per second, initially featured in the new Mac mini. This chip is manufactured by TSMC using a 2-nanometer process and is the first to adopt gate-all-around (GAA) nanosheet transistors, making it the world's first consumer-grade 2-nanometer chip.The supply chain is focused on the subsequent high-end M series packaging architecture. Based on the Fusion Architecture of the previous generation M5 Pro, M5 Max, and the four-die design of M5 Ultra, Apple chips have transitioned from a single large die to a modular design. Future M6 Pro, Max, or Ultra are expected to enhance advanced packaging requirements such as SoIC-MH and WMCM, increasing interconnect density with SoIC-MH and integrating logic, LPDDR memory, and high-speed I/O with WMCM.TSMC is actively preparing for expansion, with Zhunan AP6 as the main mass production base for SoIC, Longtan AP3 upgrading to WMCM, and Chiayi AP7 taking on related capacity. Analysts estimate that WMCM's monthly production capacity will reach about 60,000 units by the end of 2026 and over 120,000 units in 2027. Equipment manufacturers such as Hongshuo, Junhua, Yinneng, and material manufacturers Changxing, Xinying Materials, and Yongguang are expected to benefit.

Gate Europe CEO Dr. Giovanni Cunti: Embedded finance will drive the integration of digital assets into everyday financial life

According to Gate Europe CEO Dr. Giovanni Cunti's latest LinkedIn post, the next phase of digital asset adoption may no longer focus on guiding users to crypto platforms, but rather on integrating digital asset capabilities into the financial services that users are already using. Through embedded finance, scenarios such as payments, commerce, and fund transfers can directly connect to digital asset infrastructure, allowing users to access digital asset-related services without changing their existing financial service usage.Dr. Giovanni Cunti also pointed out that this trend is reshaping the competitive logic of the digital asset industry. Liquidity and product capabilities will still be important foundations, but whether payment channels, asset custody, risk management, and compliance systems can achieve synergy in different markets and regulatory environments will become increasingly critical. Europe has significant advantages in this development process, as MiCA is gradually establishing a more unified regulatory framework for digital assets, and the continuous evolution of payment infrastructure is creating new opportunities for compliant digital asset companies to collaborate deeply with the traditional financial system.For Gate Europe, the integration of digital assets and payment systems is becoming an important direction for business development. Relying on the compliance foundation established by the dual licensing system of MiCA and payment institutions (PI), Gate Europe will further promote the connection between digital assets and payment services, as well as a broader financial ecosystem. As digital assets gradually integrate into daily financial activities, they are expected to evolve from independent financial products into a core component of a new generation of financial infrastructure that is more open, interconnected, and programmable.

first_img Tomasz Tunguz: AI infrastructure exhibits a long tail effect, with bottlenecks gradually transmitting and driving up costs

Venture capitalist Tomasz Tunguz pointed out that the narrative of AI infrastructure resembles a slow relay race, with bottlenecks sequentially transmitting from GPUs to memory, CPUs, and storage, each link freezing the supply chain of the next for years and locking in higher baseline costs. At the beginning of 2023, the GPU shock caused H100 rental prices to exceed $9 per hour, and server shipments fell by 22%; subsequently, manufacturers shifted capacity to HBM, leading to an 80% quarterly increase in enterprise SSD prices and over a 60% rise in DRAM.By the end of 2025, the workload of intelligent agents will push the CPU to GPU ratio to about 1:1, with the average price of server CPUs rising by 27% year-on-year; in 2026, nearline HDD annual capacity will be sold out. The construction cost of data centers has risen to about $20 billion per gigawatt, with orders for long-cycle equipment such as transformers and turbines scheduled as far out as 2029 to 2031.Tunguz referred to this as the long whip effect in the hardware sector: years of manufacturing delays amplify downstream demand shocks upstream, and when pressure is relieved at a certain bottleneck, it will be delayed in transmitting to the next link, with transformers scheduled for delivery in 2027 to 2028, NAND wafer fabs, and turbine production lines potentially facing the risk of overcapacity.
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