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mak

Trump said he would make a "final decision" on the Iran issue. American journalists interpreted that Trump hinted at approving the agreement

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated on social media: "Iran must agree that they will never have nuclear weapons or nuclear bombs. The Strait of Hormuz must be opened immediately in both directions, with no tolls, allowing shipping traffic to pass unrestricted. All mines (bombs)------if any------will be cleared (we have previously utilized our excellent underwater mine-sweeping ships to clear a large number of such mines by detonation. Iran will be responsible for immediately clearing and/or detonating any remaining mines------there shouldn't be too many!).Those ships that have been stranded in the strait due to our astonishing and unprecedented naval blockade------given that the blockade has now been lifted------can begin to "set sail for home"! The concentrated materials that are buried deep underground------sometimes referred to as "nuclear dust"------are currently being pressed under a mountain that has nearly collapsed (this is due to the powerful B-2 bomber airstrikes we launched 11 months ago); these materials will be excavated by the United States and will be thoroughly destroyed in close coordination and cooperation with Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency. Until further notice, there will be no financial transactions between the two parties.In addition, the two sides have reached a consensus on other issues that are far less important than the above matters. I am now heading to the "situation room" for a meeting to make the final decision." AXIOS reporters interpret that Trump hinted at an imminent approval of the Iran agreement.

Wintermute enters the prediction market making, expanding into event contract liquidity

According to The Block, quantitative market maker Wintermute has announced its entry into the prediction market sector, providing two-way quote liquidity services for several mainstream event contract platforms, marking the official expansion of its trading infrastructure into the emerging market at the intersection of crypto and traditional assets.The company stated that it has been continuously providing buy and sell bilateral quotes on multiple "leading platforms," with the total monthly trading volume of these prediction markets exceeding $20 billion this year, indicating that this sector is growing rapidly but still in the early stages of liquidity. Wintermute's annual trading volume exceeds $3.5 trillion, and this expansion further strengthens its cross-asset market-making capabilities.Jake Ostrovskis, head of OTC trading at the company, stated that prediction markets have a demand structure similar to traditional major asset classes, but liquidity is still insufficient, requiring continuous bilateral quotes to enhance price discovery efficiency and trading depth. He pointed out that tighter spreads and greater trading capacity will improve the quality of market probability signals.In the industry, institutions such as Jump Trading and Galaxy Digital have also entered this field, with some platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi having a cumulative trading volume exceeding $150 billion. Analysts believe that Wintermute's entry further promotes the integration of prediction markets and crypto infrastructure, especially in terms of stablecoin settlement, on-chain clearing, and risk management systems, as these markets gradually approach a derivatives-level institutional development structure.
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