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Waller refused to predict the remaining interest rate decisions for the year, with the probability of an interest rate hike in October dropping to about 17%

During the IMF meeting in Bangkok, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh stated that he would not predict the outcomes of the remaining two interest rate meetings this year and was unwilling to disclose potential actions in advance. He said, "This is a new chapter for the Federal Reserve; we no longer do this." Regarding the recent signals from colleagues indicating "no urgency to raise interest rates this month," he neither explicitly supported nor refuted them. Walsh reiterated that the Federal Reserve will achieve price stability and noted that the global economy has largely aligned with central bank expectations since the interest rate hike in September, while describing the recent actions of various central banks as a synchronized tightening of monetary policy in most regions of the world.In September, the Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by 25 basis points, increasing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% to 4%. At that time, most officials expected at least one more rate hike this year. Despite the core CPI rising by 0.33% month-on-month in September, marking a strong increase for the second consecutive month, and the latest producer price data also being robust, Walsh hardly mentioned this week's inflation report and did not significantly attempt to change market expectations for the October meeting. Reports indicated that during his speech, the dollar weakened, and market bets on an interest rate hike in October dropped from about 30% to around 17%.Additionally, Walsh believes that the U.S. is experiencing significant investment growth and holds an optimistic view on economic resilience and the productivity boost brought by AI, but he warned that the development path will be "very bumpy," and the short-term impact of AI on employment remains unclear. DBS Bank macro strategist Wei Liang Chang stated that Walsh reiterated that artificial intelligence will improve productivity in the medium term, which may help ease inflation expectations and alleviate concerns about the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate hikes. Saxo Markets Chief Investment Strategist Charu Chanana noted that Walsh's refusal to commit to another rate hike led to some bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes falling flat, and related comments did not help the dollar following the release of strong inflation data.

Analyst: During the decline of BTC, long-term holders transferring to exchanges remained low, and the selling pressure from short-term holders weakened

On-chain analyst Murphy posted on the X platform, stating that during the recent decline of BTC, the scale of short-term holders (STH) transferring BTC to exchanges has significantly increased, averaging about 2,200 BTC transferred per hour over a 4-hour period, reaching the fourth highest level since the market rally began in August this year. However, the peak of transfers has fallen below that of October 8, indicating that the potential selling pressure from short-term holders has weakened.In contrast, long-term holders (LTH) transferred an average of only about 480 BTC to exchanges per hour during the same period, which is about one-fifth of the short-term holders. Murphy pointed out that on October 8, long-term holders experienced a peak transfer of about 3,700 BTC per hour, which may be partly related to asset transfers triggered by security incidents involving hardware wallets. However, considering that both short-term and long-term holders experienced large-scale transfers that day, and the rapid decline in BTC prices, there remains actual selling pressure in the market. Murphy believes that during the current decline, the main transfers to exchanges are from short-term holders, while long-term holders remain relatively stable overall, and the intensity of transfers from short-term holders has weakened compared to before, reflecting that the structure of BTC holders still has a certain resilience.

first_img CleanSpark and BitFuFu's Bitcoin production decreased in September, while Canaan's production remained flat

According to The Block, publicly listed Bitcoin mining company CleanSpark and BitFuFu saw a month-on-month decline in Bitcoin production in September, while Canaan's production remained the same as in August. CleanSpark mined 529 BTC in September, a decrease of nearly 11% from 593 BTC in August; BitFuFu produced 167 BTC, down 4% from 174 BTC in August; Canaan mined 44 BTC, the same as in August.As of the end of September, CleanSpark held 13,530 BTC, down from 13,703 BTC at the end of August. The company stated that it sold 2 BTC on the spot market and exercised call options to sell 700 BTC at an average price of $72,928 each. CleanSpark also announced that it would stop releasing monthly mining updates and switch to quarterly reports to focus more on its continuously expanding data center business. Last week, the company completed a $2.276 billion issuance of senior secured notes to fund the construction of its data center campus in Sandersville, Georgia, which is expected to generate approximately $6.6 billion in revenue. CleanSpark's stock CLSK closed at $8.76 on Thursday, down over 24% year-to-date.BitFuFu's self-mining output in September increased from 88 BTC in August to 98 BTC, an increase of over 11%, but its cloud mining output decreased from 86 BTC to 69 BTC, a decline of nearly 20%. Its Bitcoin holdings slightly increased to 1,388 BTC.
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