1% of customer contributions come from Anthropic, while corporate Token spending has nearly stagnated
According to Ramp's tracking of payment data from over 70,000 U.S. companies, approximately 80% of Anthropic and OpenAI's enterprise revenue comes from the top 1% of clients. In August and September, enterprise Token spending saw nearly zero growth for two consecutive months; although it reached a historical high at the beginning of October, it was only 1.5% higher than the peak in August.According to Ornn data, the actual Token price index for Anthropic fell from over $1.70 in mid-September to $0.83, a decline of more than 50%, while OpenAI's corresponding index was $0.45. According to YipitData, the top 1% of Anthropic's clients contributed 46% of revenue in August, up from 25% a year ago. Ramp data shows that the paid adoption rate for enterprise AI in September only increased by 0.62 percentage points to 55.9%. Ramp's chief economist Ara Kharazian believes that growth is shifting from expanding the paid user base to enhancing the depth of use among existing users.Goldman Sachs warns that the growth rate of Token demand must exceed the decline in prices to support sustained investment in computing power. Apollo's chief economist Torsten Slok pointed out that companies are highly sensitive to computing power prices, and price reductions may not necessarily lead to sufficient new demand. Goldman Sachs data also shows that the realized return on invested capital for Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle has dropped from 40% to 25%, the lowest since 2016.