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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Number of Elon Musk Tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "100-119" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 38.65% an hour ago to the current 57.6% (a fluctuation of 18.95%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin July Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the win rate of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Above $65,000" has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 62.5% an hour ago to the current 77.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Bitcoin breaking through on July 6" in the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "62,000" has experienced severe fluctuations, plummeting from 83.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 44%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

JUST DAO will hold a deep roundtable discussion themed "Binance's Ninth Anniversary × TRON DeFi Summer: From Trading Heat to On-Chain Earnings, the Summer Gateway to TRON Ecological Earnings is Here" on July 7 at 8 PM in X Space.The event will focus on the extension path of the TRON ecosystem from trading heat to on-chain DeFi earning scenarios, exploring the participation methods of assets such as TRX, JST, SUN, and USDD, as well as the on-chain earning gateway jointly created by JustLend DAO and Binance Wallet.At that time, industry KOLs and the USDD team will analyze the liquidity logic and earning mechanisms of TRON DeFi assets, sharing the application of USDD in the stablecoin earning scenario.

According to Binance Research data, as of June 2026, the total value of RWA assets is approximately $31.7 billion, with the private credit sector experiencing the strongest monthly growth, adding about $883 million.The Binance Research report states that Centrifuge is driving a resurgence in the tokenization of private credit, with its $200 million JAAA issued on Solana demonstrating the feasibility of bringing institutional-grade assets on-chain.In addition, Binance launched bStocks, converting real U.S. stock holdings into tokens on the BNB Chain, supporting 24/7 on-chain trading. The report shows that 80% of tokenized stock trades come from emerging markets, with 93% of trades being fragmented, and the median trade size being $18.81.Binance Research expects that under the assumption of a 0.4% penetration rate, the market size for tokenized RWA could expand to $661 billion, representing approximately 62 times the current level of upside potential.

According to a recent article by npm co-founder Laurie Voss, research from Stanford University's Digital Economy Lab based on ADP payroll data shows that since the end of 2022, the number of employed junior software developers aged 22 to 25 has decreased by 19%, and entry-level software development positions have dropped by 28% from their peak, with the unemployment rate for computer science graduates rising to 6.1%. However, the total number of developers employed in the U.S. has still grown by 4.4% during the same period, with the employment of senior developers aged 41 to 49 increasing by 14%. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) further indicates that over the past year, the number of "computer programmer" positions primarily responsible for writing code on demand has decreased by 16%, while positions for data scientists and core software developers that require more architectural judgment have increased by 12% and 2%, respectively.At the same time, the proliferation of AI tools has led to an explosion in software creation. GitHub added a record 36 million accounts and 121 million code repositories last year, and the number of app submissions to the Apple App Store surged by 80% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026. Data from platforms like Vercel and Lovable indicates that over 60% of new users are "non-traditional developers" such as product managers and analysts. Industry analysts warn that as AI replaces basic coding tasks, the traditional "junior to senior" engineer apprenticeship promotion path has been disrupted, raising concerns about the safety of AI-generated code and challenging the future sources of senior developers. However, the latest hiring data from platforms like Indeed shows that the demand for related entry-level positions hit bottom in May 2025 and has begun to show signs of rebound.

The TRON DeFi Summer S1 event jointly launched by JustLend DAO and Binance Wallet has officially started and will last until August 5 at 7:59:59 Singapore time. It is reported that users can participate in the JustLend DAO ecological pool through the DeFi feature of Binance Wallet to subscribe for assets such as TRX, USDD, JST, and SUN. During the event, participating users can receive Boost APR incentives and share a total exclusive prize pool of 2.15 million USD.

According to Cointelegraph, data from payment giant Visa shows that in June, the adjusted trading volume of stablecoins reached $1.79 trillion, a 63% increase from May's $1.1 trillion, setting a new historical record surpassing February's $1.78 trillion, and a year-on-year increase of 125%.Among them, USDC dominates with a trading volume of $1.21 trillion, accounting for about 67%; USDT's trading volume is $576 billion, accounting for about 32%. At the network level, Base ranks first with $565 billion (31.5%), followed closely by Ethereum ($562 billion), and Tron ranks third ($320 billion).Analysts believe that despite the bear market in the crypto space, the trading volume of stablecoins continues to grow, highlighting their increasing importance in practical applications such as payments, DeFi, and cross-border transfers.

According to DefiLlama data, Kalshi's trading volume in June reached nearly $9.4 billion, setting a new historical high, a significant increase from about $5.3 billion in May. Polymarket International's trading volume during the same period also rose from about $3.5 billion to approximately $4.3 billion. The 2026 FIFA World Cup will kick off on June 11, expanding to 48 teams for the first time, and according to CNBC, it has become the biggest driving force behind June's prediction market trading. Trading activity during the knockout stage is particularly active; as of the time of writing, the Round of 16 match between Canada and Morocco generated over $48 million in trading volume on Kalshi, and over $26.8 million on Polymarket.Meanwhile, prediction markets in the United States face ongoing legal and regulatory disputes, with nearly a dozen states taking action against Kalshi and Polymarket. CFTC Chairman Selig has accused the states of illegal enforcement actions against federally regulated exchanges. In Europe, ESMA reminded companies last Friday that many event contracts may be subject to existing binary options restrictions.

According to CoinDesk, the Clarity Act failed to be signed into law on July 4 as White House advisor Patrick Witt had hoped, and the time window for passing it through Congress before the midterm elections is narrowing.Three individuals familiar with the process stated that they remain optimistic about the bill passing this year, as relevant staff are still coordinating between the Senate Agriculture Committee and the Banking Committee versions. The Senate may only need a few days for public debate and voting, but if the bill fails to pass before the midterm elections, the post-election outlook remains uncertain. The next key date is August 7, 2026, which is the last session day before the Senate's summer recess and the campaign season.

According to a report by The New York Times, cryptocurrency analysis company Nansen data shows that nearly one million TRUMP Meme coin investors had accumulated losses of $3.81 billion by the end of June, with approximately 989,000 wallets in a state of loss, accounting for about two-thirds of total buyers. The token has currently dropped 97% from its peak.Meanwhile, about 500,000 wallets profited from the TRUMP token, with a total of approximately $4 billion. The Nansen report pointed out that this portion of profits "reflects a small number of early buyers reaping huge gains, while the vast majority of retail investors bear the losses." Trump himself profited $636 million from this Meme coin, with total returns from all his business investments in 2025 amounting to at least $2.2 billion.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 23%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 41.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 47.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 10.5%.

George Gonçalves, the head of U.S. macro strategy at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities Americas, stated that Waller's concise style gives more weight to the June meeting minutes than usual, providing valuable insights into the differing positions among Federal Reserve officials."The minutes will become more important because so far, we don't know what the Fed is thinking," Gonçalves said. "Seeing how they debate and what they focus on will be very enlightening."He added that some investors have questioned Waller's "hands-off" approach, with many hoping for a return to greater transparency. Many market participants are not used to the reduction in information, and there remains a considerable degree of skepticism about how long the Fed can maintain this. For now, we can only interpret the meaning between the lines.

According to CoinDesk, Thomas Sy, head of multi-asset solutions at New York Life Investment Management (NYLIM), stated that the core application of the next phase of tokenization will be to achieve "personalized portfolio construction," rather than merely enhancing settlement efficiency or extending trading hours.NYLIM manages approximately $807 billion, with about $11 billion overseen by Sy's team. He pointed out that blockchain technology is expected to enable asset management institutions to customize complex portfolio strategies for different investors on a large scale, a capability that is currently difficult to achieve within the traditional financial system.Sy indicated that the core of asset management will shift towards "highly customized" solutions in the future, and blockchain is the only technological path that can achieve this goal at scale. He believes that tokenization is not just about putting ETFs, bonds, or private credit on-chain, but more importantly, about reconstructing the way portfolios are built.He also noted that current asset portfolios typically involve a mixed allocation of ETFs, bonds, and private assets, but due to operational complexities, personalized strategies are difficult to scale. Tokenization is expected to "embed customization logic into the assets themselves," reducing operational costs and enhancing efficiency.In addition, Sy stated that stablecoins have become a key entry point for traditional finance to enter the blockchain space, with the current scale of stablecoins exceeding $300 billion, being used for cross-border payments and fund management. He believes this trend will gradually drive institutional demand for on-chain income-generating assets.In the area of decentralized finance (DeFi), NYLIM is still researching related applications, but Sy emphasized that institutional participation still requires more mature infrastructure, including the improvement of tokenized collateral, clearing mechanisms, and the prime brokerage service system.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "the next round of peace talks between the US and Iran" on the Polymarket prediction market, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "July 17" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 19.5% an hour ago to the current 40.5% (a fluctuation of 21%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to official news, the Jupiter Strategic Reserve Trust, Jupiter Litterbox Trust, increased its holdings by 186,546 JUP yesterday, worth approximately $45,000. This month, it has accumulated purchases of 1,226,119 JUP, worth about $300,000. So far, its total purchases amount to 145,028,229 JUP, valued at approximately $34.8 million.The Jupiter Strategic Reserve Trust is the official on-chain treasury fund of Jupiter, automatically transferring 50% of the revenue from the Jupiter protocol to continuously buy and hold JUP tokens on the open market through smart contracts, often humorously referred to by the community as the "Litterbox Trust."

According to Jinshi reports, Doubao has released a "Notice of the Shutdown of Doubao Intelligent Agent Function," stating that the intelligent agent function will be discontinued on July 15, 2026. At that time, users will not be able to create new intelligent agents, and already created and saved intelligent agents will also be unable to be called or run.After July 15, Doubao will process the data related to intelligent agents, and it will no longer be possible to view or restore them within Doubao.