Data: Bybit releases the latest options weekly report, the head and shoulders target has been exceeded, and BTC has recorded the largest weekly drop since the FTX collapse
Bybit's latest options weekly report states that the directional judgment over the past four weeks has all been realized this week: BTC hit a low of $59,130, surpassing the previous target range of $65k - $67k. Last week's opening was $73,760, with a low of $59,130, marking the largest weekly decline since the FTX collapse (approximately -20%), now rebounding to $63,000. Recently, three major bearish factors have overlapped: non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations reigniting interest rate hike expectations, SpaceX's IPO drawing away liquidity, and Strategy selling BTC for the first time in four years. The ETF saw a record net outflow of $1.7 billion in a single week. ETH's daily RSI fell to a historical low of 12.78, while BTC's RSI simultaneously dropped to 15.45, increasing the probability of a technical rebound, but a trend reversal remains to be confirmed. DVOL surged from a historical low of 35 to 55 before falling back to 48, with bearish options having taken profits. Currently, do not chase long positions; BTC faces significant pressure in the $63k - $65k range, waiting for CPI and DVOL to drop to 40 or for BTC to effectively reclaim $65,000 before re-entering.